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WTI trades with modest losses around $82.00 mark, downside potential seems limited

  • WTI retreats from a fresh YTD peak touched on Tuesday, though the downside seems limited.
  • The prospects of rising supply from Russia prompt some profit-taking after the recent run-up.
  • Concerns about tightening global supply should act as a tailwind and help limit deeper losses.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Crude Oil prices edge lower during the Asian session on Tuesday and revers a part of the previous day's strong gains to the $82.45 area, or the highest level since early November. The commodity currently trades around the $82.00/barrel mark, though the downside seems limited in the wake of worries about tightening supply.

Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian oil refineries over the last week could lead to higher crude oil exports from Russia. This, in turn, prompts bullish traders to take some profits off the table after the recent strong run-up witnessed over the past week or so and slightly overstretched conditions on short-term charts. Apart from this, sustained US Dollar (USD) buying, bolstered by bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will stick to its higher-for-longer interest rates narrative to bring down inflation, exerts downward pressure on the commodity.

Furthermore, growing concerns about a global economic slowdown, which could dent fuel demand, turn out to be another factor weighing on Crude Oil prices. Meanwhile, lower crude exports from Saudi Arabia and Iraq, along with disruptions caused by Houthi attacks in the Red Sea, could act as a tailwind for the black liquid and help limit the corrective slide. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for strong follow-through selling before confirming that the commodity has topped out in the near term and positioning for deeper losses.

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price81.99
Today Daily Change-0.20
Today Daily Change %-0.24
Today daily open82.19
 
Trends
Daily SMA2078.48
Daily SMA5076.35
Daily SMA10075.53
Daily SMA20078.19
 
Levels
Previous Daily High82.46
Previous Daily Low80.54
Previous Weekly High81.05
Previous Weekly Low76.5
Previous Monthly High79.27
Previous Monthly Low71.46
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%81.73
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%81.28
Daily Pivot Point S181
Daily Pivot Point S279.81
Daily Pivot Point S379.08
Daily Pivot Point R182.92
Daily Pivot Point R283.65
Daily Pivot Point R384.84

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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