|

WTI Price Analysis: Trades back and forth above $75

  • The oil price struggles for a direction as investors seek fresh developments in the Israel-Hamas war.
  • A hawkish guidance from Fed Powell on interest rates has dampened the oil demand outlook.
  • WTI trades sideways due to a Symmetrical Triangle chart formation.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, trade directionless in a narrow range above the crucial support of $75.00 in the European session. The oil price struggles for a direction as investors seek fresh developments in the Israel-Hamas war.

The oil price is hovering near the three-month low and is expected to extend downside as the war situation between Israel and Palestine is seen remaining contained between them. This would not disrupt the oil supply chain significantly.

Meanwhile, hawkish guidance from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell on interest rates has dampened the oil demand outlook. Jerome Powell doesn’t consider current interest rates adequate to tame price pressures.

WTI trades sideways due to a Symmetrical Triangle chart formation on an hourly scale. The aforementioned chart pattern indicates a sharp compression in volatility. This indicates that investors await a potential trigger for a strong action.

The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $76.00 remains close to oil prices, indicating a lackluster performance.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) oscillates in the 40.00-60.00, portraying a sideways trend.

More offers would appeal if the oil price drops below November 8 low near $75.00. The oil price would fall further towards July 18 low at $73.85, followed by psychological support of $70.00.

In an alternate scenario, a decisive break above November 8 high at $77.42 would drive the asset toward November 3 low near $80.00. A breach of the latter would expose the asset to November 6 high at $82.00.

WTI hourly chart

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price76.38
Today Daily Change0.80
Today Daily Change %1.06
Today daily open75.58
 
Trends
Daily SMA2083.09
Daily SMA5085.67
Daily SMA10081.54
Daily SMA20077.97
 
Levels
Previous Daily High77.11
Previous Daily Low75.2
Previous Weekly High84.85
Previous Weekly Low79.94
Previous Monthly High90.88
Previous Monthly Low80.52
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%76.38
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%75.93
Daily Pivot Point S174.82
Daily Pivot Point S274.06
Daily Pivot Point S372.92
Daily Pivot Point R176.73
Daily Pivot Point R277.87
Daily Pivot Point R378.63

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs toward 1.1800 on broad USD weakness

EUR/USD gathers bullish momentum and advances toward 1.1800 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar weakens and helps the pair stretch higher after the employment report showed that Nonfarm Payrolls declined by 105,000 in October before rising by 64,000 in November.

GBP/USD climbs to fresh two-month high above 1.3400

GBP/USD gains traction in the American session and trades at its highest level since mid-October above 1.3430. The British Pound benefits from upbeat PMI data, while the US Dollar struggles to find demand following the mixed employment figures and weaker-than-forecast PMI prints, allowing the pair to march north.

Gold recovers above $4,300 as markets react to weak US data

Gold trades in positive above $4,300 after spending the first half of the day under bearish pressure. XAU/USD capitalizes on renewed USD weakness after the jobs report showed that the Unemployment Rate climbed to 4.6% in November and the PMI data revealed a loss of growth momentum in the private sector in December. 

US Retail Sales virtually unchanged at $732.6 billion in October

Retail Sales in the United States were virtually unchanged at $732.6 billion in October, the US Census Bureau reported on Tuesday. This print followed the 0.1% increase (revised from 0.3%) recorded in September and came in below the market expectation of +0.1%.

Ukraine-Russia in the spotlight once again

Since the start of the week, gold’s price has moved lower, but has yet to erase the gains made last week. In today’s report we intend to focus on the newest round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, whilst noting the release of the US Employment data later on day and end our report with an update in regards to the tensions brewing in Venezuela.

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.