|

WTI Price Analysis: Oil snaps two-day winning streak as sellers attack 200-SMA above $71.00

  • WTI crude oil takes offers to renew intraday low during the first loss-making day in three.
  • Oil price pulls back from fortnight-old resistance line amid nearly overbought RSI.
  • Bullish MACD signals keep energy buyers hopeful above weekly support line, 1.5-month-old horizontal support.

WTI crude oil pares the previous weekly gains, the first in three, as it renews intraday low near $71.30 to snap a two-day uptrend amid early Monday.

In doing so, the black gold reverses from a two-week-old descending resistance line amid nearly overbought RSI (14). However, the bullish MACD signals and the 200-SMA, around $71.30 by the press time, challenge the Oil bears.

It should be noted, however, that a clear break of the 200-SMA won’t hesitate to prod the $70.00 psychological magnet while the 50% Fibonacci retracement of May 03-24 upside, near $69.50, may test the energy benchmark bears afterward.

In a case where the WTI crude oil remains bearish past $69.50, a one-week-old ascending support line and a horizontal area comprising multiple lows marked since early May, respectively near $69.30 and $67.20-67.00, will be in the spotlight.

On the contrary, Oil’s recovery needs validation from the aforementioned resistance line of around $72.00, a break of which can direct the energy bulls toward the multiple hurdles marked near $73.50.

However, the WTI recovery remains elusive unless the quote stays below the late May swing high of near $74.70.

WTI crude oil: Four-hour chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price71.33
Today Daily Change-0.34
Today Daily Change %-0.47%
Today daily open71.67
 
Trends
Daily SMA2071.14
Daily SMA5073.67
Daily SMA10074.71
Daily SMA20078.19
 
Levels
Previous Daily High72.02
Previous Daily Low70.19
Previous Weekly High72.02
Previous Weekly Low66.95
Previous Monthly High76.61
Previous Monthly Low64.31
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%71.32
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%70.89
Daily Pivot Point S170.56
Daily Pivot Point S269.46
Daily Pivot Point S368.72
Daily Pivot Point R172.4
Daily Pivot Point R273.13
Daily Pivot Point R374.24

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD slides below 1.3250 after failing to break through 23.6% Fibo

The GBP/USD pair meets with a fresh supply during the Asian session on Wednesday and moves away from a nearly two-week high around the 1.3275 region, touched the previous day. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3235 zone, down 0.20% for the day, as traders look to speeches from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh for a fresh impetus.

EUR/USD stays offered, breaks below 1.1400…again

EUR/USD adds to Tuesday’s slight losses and drops below the 1.1400 yardstick in the latter part of Wednesday’s NA session. The pair’s decline comes in response to the persistent recovery in the US Dollar, which seems to have met extra support following the cautious tone from Fed’s Warsh in his comments at the ECB Forum.

Gold recovers but sellers hold the grip

Gold keeps the bullish performance in place on Wednesday, although is now giving away part of its earlier advance past the $4,100 mark per troy ounce. The precious metal’s marked rebound comes despite the US Dollar’s bid bias, higher US Treasury yields across the curve and positive headlines from the Middle East.


Dogecoin vs Shiba Inu: DOGE and SHIB start July with similar setups
The cryptocurrency market shows subtle signs of rebounding on Wednesday after facing intense headwinds over the past few weeks, largely attributed to geopolitical tensions, macroeconomic uncertainty and risk-averse sentiment. Dogecoin (DOGE) and Shiba Inu (SHIB) are holding above pivotal support levels at $0.0700 and $0.0000040, respectively, suggesting investors are ready to reengage.
Warsh stays on message as inflation remains the Fed's top priority
At the ECB Forum in Sintra, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh largely followed the script, offering little to change the market’s current view on monetary policy.
Just like Fed, is BoJ’s independence under threat?

When talking about central bank independence, most of the focus has been on Donald Trump’s pressure on the Federal Reserve. But a similar story, a quieter one for now, seems to be happening on the other side of the Pacific: Japan’s government may be testing the Bank of Japan’s independence.