|

WTI Price Analysis: Crude oil bounces from fresh 2023 lows

  • Financial turmoil weighs on investors’ mood and drags black gold lower.
  • WTI bounced modestly after posting a fresh 2023 low of $65.22 a barrel.

The barrel of West Texas Intermediate fell to $65.22 on Friday, its lowest since November 2022. It currently trades at around $67.30 a barrel, breaking lower amid financial turmoil weighing on the market mood.

The banking crisis triggered by Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank last week escalated, with Credit Suisse under siege after its top shareholder ruled out providing financial assistance to the company. Stock markets collapsed despite authorities’ efforts to ensure the banking sector was strong enough to bare with the situation.

Nevertheless, concerns remained after SVB  officially announced its bankruptcy on Friday, while yet another bank came under scrutiny, First Republic. European and US indexes trade in the red and are poised to finish the week in negative territory.

WTI, in the meantime, is down for a fifth consecutive day, with daily technical readings hinting at continued declines ahead. Once below the aforementioned low, the slump could extend to $62.41, December 2021 monthly low. A break below the latter will likely attract speculative buying, with $60.00 acting as a major psychological barrier. The black gold is currently finding sellers at around $70.00, with gains above the level unlikely to prosper. 

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price66.97
Today Daily Change-1.46
Today Daily Change %-2.13
Today daily open68.43
 
Trends
Daily SMA2075.74
Daily SMA5077.39
Daily SMA10078.81
Daily SMA20085.84
 
Levels
Previous Daily High69.53
Previous Daily Low65.9
Previous Weekly High80.99
Previous Weekly Low74.89
Previous Monthly High80.75
Previous Monthly Low72.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%68.14
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%67.28
Daily Pivot Point S166.38
Daily Pivot Point S264.32
Daily Pivot Point S362.74
Daily Pivot Point R170.01
Daily Pivot Point R271.58
Daily Pivot Point R373.64

Author

FXStreet Team

Composed of a group of economic journalists and FX experts, the FXStreet content team produces and oversees all content published on FXStreet. It provides a purely journalistic approach to the Forex market.

More from FXStreet Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sits at three-week highs above 0.7000 on hawkish RBA-speak

AUD/USD holds a positive bias for the fourth straight day, trading above 0.7000 in the Asian session on Wednesday and at three-week highs. RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser's hawkish remarks and inflation concerns underpin the pair. However, the upside appears capped as the US Dollar attracts some buyers amid looming US-Iran uncertainty.

USD/JPY remains confined in a familiar range below 158.50

USD/JPY sees some dip-buying in the Asian session on Wednesday, though it remains confined within a multi-week range near 158.50 as the uncertainty over the timing of the next BoJ rate hike keeps Japanese Yen bulls on the defensive. Meanwhile, hawkish Fed expectations, bolstered by inflation risks stemming from volatile oil prices, underpin the US Dollar. However, looming intervention fears could limit JPY losses and cap the currency pair.

Gold bounces off weekly low; Fed hike bets and modest USD recovery keep upside limited

Gold recovers slightly from the weekly low, around the $4,100 neighborhood, though the upside potential seems limited amid a bearish fundamental backdrop. Inflation risks stemming from volatile oil prices underpin prospects for further policy tightening by the US Federal Reserve. Furthermore, a modest US Dollar recovery from a near three-week low could contribute to capping bullion.

Zcash's bullish reversal eyes $1,698 peak on NU7 upgrade
Zcash (ZEC) shows signs of bullish recovery above $1,200 on Wednesday, following a 9% rebound the previous day linked to the upcoming NU7 upgrade. Blockworks released a Zcash holders report on Tuesday, highlighting steady network growth. The technical outlook for ZEC is bullish, with bulls eyeing an extended rally toward $1,698.
US – Midterm update: Pre-election tail risk scenarios
With two weeks until the US midterm elections on 3 November, early voting has already opened in more than 40 states. Prediction markets are broadly unchanged since we published our Midterm update, 13 October. The prediction market Polymarket continues to see Democrats winning both chambers as the most likely outcome, with a 62.5% probability.
The US Dollar fell. Gold didn't rally. That tells you everything
Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on a weaker US Dollar (USD), after repeatedly failing to establish itself above the $4,200 level. The precious metal remains confined to a relatively narrow trading range despite a combination of developments that would normally support higher prices.