WTI Price Analysis: 50-SMA prods China data-led recovery around $81.00


  • WTI crude oil clings to mild gains while paring the biggest daily loss in a month.
  • China data adds strength to the corrective bounce in Oil price.
  • Bearish MACD signals, 50-SMA challenges buyers but further downside needs validation from previous resistance line from January.

WTI crude oil stays defensive around the lowest level in one week, near $81.05 during early Tuesday. In doing so, the black gold struggles to cheer China’s upbeat data while consolidating the previous day’s heavy loss, the biggest in one month.

As per the latest economic updates from China’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), the first quarter (Q1) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grows 2.2% QoQ versus the 2.2% expected and 0.0% prior. Further, Retail Sales growth jumps 10.9% YoY in March versus 7.4% expected and 3.5% prior whereas Industrial Production eased below 4.0% expected growth figures to 3.9%, versus 2.4% previous readings.

Apart from the mostly upbeat China data, nearly oversold RSI (14) line also allows the black gold to grind higher, recently approaching the 50-SMA hurdle of around $81.40.

It’s worth noting, however, that the bearish MACD signals and a two-week-old horizontal resistance area around $81.60-80, could challenge the commodity’s further upside. Following that, the recent multi-day high marked in the last week, around $83.40 will be in focus.

On the contrary, WTI’s further downside can aim for the $80.00 round figure ahead of challenging previous resistance line from late January, now support close to $79.20.

Should the quote remains bearish past $79.20, an upward-sloping support line from March 20, near $77.30, acts as the last defense of the WTI bulls.

WTI: Four-hour chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 81.04
Today Daily Change 0.09
Today Daily Change % 0.11%
Today daily open 80.95
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 76.41
Daily SMA50 76.29
Daily SMA100 76.97
Daily SMA200 82.49
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 82.61
Previous Daily Low 80.45
Previous Weekly High 83.4
Previous Weekly Low 79.4
Previous Monthly High 80.99
Previous Monthly Low 64.39
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 81.28
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 81.79
Daily Pivot Point S1 80.06
Daily Pivot Point S2 79.18
Daily Pivot Point S3 77.9
Daily Pivot Point R1 82.22
Daily Pivot Point R2 83.5
Daily Pivot Point R3 84.38

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD posts gain, yet dive below 0.6500 amid Aussie CPI, ahead of US GDP

AUD/USD posts gain, yet dive below 0.6500 amid Aussie CPI, ahead of US GDP

The Aussie Dollar finished Wednesday’s session with decent gains of 0.15% against the US Dollar, yet it retreated from weekly highs of 0.6529, which it hit after a hotter-than-expected inflation report. As the Asian session begins, the AUD/USD trades around 0.6495.

AUD/USD News

USD/JPY finds its highest bids since 1990, approaches 156.00

USD/JPY finds its highest bids since 1990, approaches 156.00

USD/JPY broke into its highest chart territory since June of 1990 on Wednesday, peaking near 155.40 for the first time in 34 years as the Japanese Yen continues to tumble across the broad FX market. 

USD/JPY News

Gold stays firm amid higher US yields as traders await US GDP data

Gold stays firm amid higher US yields as traders await US GDP data

Gold recovers from recent losses, buoyed by market interest despite a stronger US Dollar and higher US Treasury yields. De-escalation of Middle East tensions contributed to increased market stability, denting the appetite for Gold buying.

Gold News

Ethereum suffers slight pullback, Hong Kong spot ETH ETFs to begin trading on April 30

Ethereum suffers slight pullback, Hong Kong spot ETH ETFs to begin trading on April 30

Ethereum suffered a brief decline on Wednesday afternoon despite increased accumulation from whales. This follows Ethereum restaking protocol Renzo restaked ETH crashing from its 1:1 peg with ETH and increased activities surrounding spot Ethereum ETFs.

Read more

Dow Jones Industrial Average hesitates on Wednesday as markets wait for key US data

Dow Jones Industrial Average hesitates on Wednesday as markets wait for key US data

The DJIA stumbled on Wednesday, falling from recent highs near 38,550.00 as investors ease off of Tuesday’s risk appetite. The index recovered as US data continues to vex financial markets that remain overwhelmingly focused on rate cuts from the US Fed.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures