|

WTI Price Analysis: 200-SMA pushes sellers towards $73.00

  • WTI remains pressured around monthly high, prints biggest daily loss in a week.
  • Overbought RSI, failures to cross 200-SMA favor sellers.
  • 50% Fibonacci retracement level, previous resistance line challenge bears.

WTI crude oil prices stay below 200-SMA, down 0.50% intraday around $73.30 during Monday’s Asian session. In doing so, the black gold teases 50% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of November 09 to December 10 declines.

Given the receding bullish bias of MACD and overbought RSI, not to forget the quote’s failures to cross the 200-SMA, oil prices are likely to remain pressured towards the $73.00 threshold, also comprising the stated Fibo. level.

It should be noted, however, that the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and the previous resistance line from early November, respectively around $70.50 and $69.70, will challenge the WTI bears afterward.

Alternatively, a clear upside break of the 200-SMA level of $73.40 will need validation from the monthly high of $73.85 before eyeing the 61.8% Fibo. level near $75.50.

During the commodity’s strength past $75.50, the late November’s high near $79.00 will be in focus.

WTI: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price73.28
Today Daily Change-0.36
Today Daily Change %-0.49%
Today daily open73.64
 
Trends
Daily SMA2070.23
Daily SMA5076.21
Daily SMA10073.84
Daily SMA20070.45
 
Levels
Previous Daily High73.75
Previous Daily Low73.61
Previous Weekly High73.85
Previous Weekly Low66.1
Previous Monthly High83.97
Previous Monthly Low64.32
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%73.66
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%73.69
Daily Pivot Point S173.59
Daily Pivot Point S273.53
Daily Pivot Point S373.45
Daily Pivot Point R173.72
Daily Pivot Point R273.8
Daily Pivot Point R373.86

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD: The 0.7000 region holds the downside, for now

AUD/USD has started the week in a negative fashion, giving away part of Friday’s uptick and refocusing on the downside. The pair’s daily decline has come on the back of the another firm performance of the Greenback, although it has met some decent contention near the 0.7000 neighbourhood.

USD/JPY struggles below 157.00 on weak USD; holds above one-month low ahead of Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts fresh sellers during the Asian session on Monday, stalling its recovery from the lowest level since September 18, touched Friday as a further decline in US bond yields weighs on the US Dollar. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen benefits from a more hawkish BoJ, further weighing on the currency pair. The downside, however, seems limited as traders keenly await Fed and BoJ policy meetings later this week.

Gold holds on just above $4,000

Gold clings to daily gains, leaving behind two daily drops in a row and reclaiming the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce and above on Monday. The better tone in the US Dollar and mixed US Treasury yields accompany the precious metal’s uptick, while declining crude oil prices appear to sustain the bounce for now.

Bitcoin vs Gold: BTC springs above $80K as XAU tops $4,000 amid low compressed volatility
Bitcoin (BTC) is bouncing back above $80,000 on Monday, while Gold (XAU/USD) is springing above the pivotal $4,000 level, up a modest 0.34% and 0.64%, respectively. Both assets are advancing amid low volatility as market participants position ahead of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) decision on Wednesday and earnings from several major tech companies.
Everyone's bracing for a hawkish central bank week. Here's why the surprise could be dovish

Five of the world's major central banks are preparing to announce monetary policy decisions this week, with investors increasingly anticipating higher interest rates as the global energy shock continues to push inflation above target.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.