|

WTI Price Analysis: 200-SMA pushes sellers towards $73.00

  • WTI remains pressured around monthly high, prints biggest daily loss in a week.
  • Overbought RSI, failures to cross 200-SMA favor sellers.
  • 50% Fibonacci retracement level, previous resistance line challenge bears.

WTI crude oil prices stay below 200-SMA, down 0.50% intraday around $73.30 during Monday’s Asian session. In doing so, the black gold teases 50% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of November 09 to December 10 declines.

Given the receding bullish bias of MACD and overbought RSI, not to forget the quote’s failures to cross the 200-SMA, oil prices are likely to remain pressured towards the $73.00 threshold, also comprising the stated Fibo. level.

It should be noted, however, that the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and the previous resistance line from early November, respectively around $70.50 and $69.70, will challenge the WTI bears afterward.

Alternatively, a clear upside break of the 200-SMA level of $73.40 will need validation from the monthly high of $73.85 before eyeing the 61.8% Fibo. level near $75.50.

During the commodity’s strength past $75.50, the late November’s high near $79.00 will be in focus.

WTI: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price73.28
Today Daily Change-0.36
Today Daily Change %-0.49%
Today daily open73.64
 
Trends
Daily SMA2070.23
Daily SMA5076.21
Daily SMA10073.84
Daily SMA20070.45
 
Levels
Previous Daily High73.75
Previous Daily Low73.61
Previous Weekly High73.85
Previous Weekly Low66.1
Previous Monthly High83.97
Previous Monthly Low64.32
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%73.66
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%73.69
Daily Pivot Point S173.59
Daily Pivot Point S273.53
Daily Pivot Point S373.45
Daily Pivot Point R173.72
Daily Pivot Point R273.8
Daily Pivot Point R373.86

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.1700 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under mild bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes near 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades marginally lower on the day at around 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold advances toward $4,400 and gains more than 1.5% on the day after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking heading into the end of the year. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).