WTI Price Analysis: 200-hour EMA probes the bulls cheering API inventory draw

  • WTI awaits fresh clues after refreshing one week high to $38.91.
  • API Weekly Crude Oil Stock dropped 9.517 million barrels in the week ended on September 11.
  • Overbought RSI also challenges the run-up following the break of the monthly falling trend line.

WTI eases from intraday high, also the one week top, while taking rounds to $38.70 during the initial Asian trading on Wednesday. The energy benchmark earlier benefited from the weekly inventory data from the American Petroleum Institute (API). However, 200-hour EMA restricts the commodity’s immediate upside amid overbought RSI conditions.

The weekly Crude Oil Stocks have depleted 9.517 million barrels, versus the previous addition of 2.97 million barrels, as per the latest API data.

Considering the WTI’s inability to overcome important EMA resistance amid overbought RSI, odds of its pullback to $38.00 can’t be ruled out. However, a descending trend line from September 02, previous resistance, may question the quote’s further downside around $37.57.

Also acting as a downside barrier is the one-week-old upward sloping support line near $37.28.

In a case the bulls refrain from respecting the RSI conditions and successfully cross the $38.70 immediate resistance, $39.80 and $40.00 will regain market attention.

It should also be noted that the barrel of oil may target 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its fall during September 02-08, around $40.75 level, during the rise beyond $40.00.

WTI hourly chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Today last price 38.71
Today Daily Change 1.20
Today Daily Change % 3.20%
Today daily open 37.51
Daily SMA20 41.13
Daily SMA50 41.27
Daily SMA100 37.37
Daily SMA200 41.3
Previous Daily High 37.93
Previous Daily Low 37.08
Previous Weekly High 39.78
Previous Weekly Low 36.43
Previous Monthly High 43.86
Previous Monthly Low 39.75
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 37.4
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 37.6
Daily Pivot Point S1 37.08
Daily Pivot Point S2 36.66
Daily Pivot Point S3 36.24
Daily Pivot Point R1 37.93
Daily Pivot Point R2 38.35
Daily Pivot Point R3 38.78



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