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WTI gains ground above the $81.00 mark on a weaker US Dollar

  • WTI gains ground near 81.00, adding 0.37% on the day. 
  • OPEC+ voluntary production cuts and the Middle East geopolitical tensions might lift WTI prices. 
  • Weaker economic growth in major countries might drag WTI prices lower.

Western Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $81.00 on Monday. WTI prices edge higher amid the softer US Dollar (USD) and the revised demand outlook from the International Energy Agency (IEA). 

The IEA forecast significantly less global oil production for the remainder of 2024 following the announcement that OPEC+ will extend the existing voluntary production cuts through the second quarter of 2024. The draw on stockpiles throughout 2024 might boost WTI prices. Furthermore, the uncertainties surrounding geopolitical tensions in the Middle East might increase prices further as many ships are rerouting to avoid the Red Sea, which lengthens the trip and increases costs.

On the other hand, weaker economic growth in major countries might lead to less oil demand and drag WTI prices lower. Market players will keep an eye on the US Gross Domestic Product Annualized (GDP) for the fourth quarter (Q4), due on Thursday. The annual US GDP growth numbers are projected to remain steady at 3.2% in the fourth quarter. 

The Federal Reserve (Fed) held rates steady at 5.25–5.50% for a fifth consecutive meeting last week. The Fed maintained its outlook for median dot for 2024 and signalled three quarter-point rate cuts this year. However, any hawkish comments and the higher-for-longer rate narrative from the central bank might cap the upside of the WTI prices as it translates to less demand for oil with higher costs.

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price81
Today Daily Change0.30
Today Daily Change %0.37
Today daily open80.7
 
Trends
Daily SMA2079.26
Daily SMA5077.08
Daily SMA10075.54
Daily SMA20078.41
 
Levels
Previous Daily High81.34
Previous Daily Low80.32
Previous Weekly High83.05
Previous Weekly Low80.24
Previous Monthly High79.27
Previous Monthly Low71.46
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%80.71
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%80.95
Daily Pivot Point S180.23
Daily Pivot Point S279.76
Daily Pivot Point S379.21
Daily Pivot Point R181.25
Daily Pivot Point R281.81
Daily Pivot Point R382.28

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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