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WTI failed to rally despite inventory decrease in the United States

  • US Energy Information Administration (EIA) reports an inventory decrease for the last week.
  • US crude oil imports drop to the lowest level since March 2021.
  • WTI Price Analysis: Would resume upwards if it breaks above $75.00; otherwise, it would remain sideways.

Western Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, retreated from weekly highs and reached $74.32 in the early New York session. Inventories in the United States (US) dropped, though it failed to underpin WTI’s price. At the time of typing, WTI exchanges hands at $73.08 PB.

US EIA announced that inventories dropped, but WTI remains down

Traders’ sentiment is positive, as shown by US equities climbing. The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) revealed that inventories in the last week fell as refineries ramped up operations once the maintenance period ended. US crude oil imports fell to their lowest level since March 2021.

Delving into the data, crude oil stockpiles dropped by 7.5 million barrels in the week to March 24 to 473.7 million barrels, vs. estimates of 92,000 barrels rise.

Although there was an oil shortage, WTI failed to capitalize as the greenback recovered some ground. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which track’s the value of the American Dollar (USD) against a basket of six currencies, is up 0.31%, at 102.745. That makes oil prices more expensive for international buyers.

After an arbitrage decision, the Norwegian oil firm DNO began shutting down production in Kurdistan’s fields.

WTI Technical analysis

After recovering from trading nearby the YTD lows, WTI is consolidating within the 20 and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), at $72.45-$74.85. For a bullish continuation, WTI  needs to crack $75.00, with upside risks at around the 100-day EMA At $77.90. On the other hand, WTI’s would re-test the YTD lows at 64.41, once it broke below $72.00 PB.

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price73.12
Today Daily Change-0.50
Today Daily Change %-0.68
Today daily open73.62
 
Trends
Daily SMA2073.26
Daily SMA5076.15
Daily SMA10077.3
Daily SMA20084.09
 
Levels
Previous Daily High73.97
Previous Daily Low72.26
Previous Weekly High71.69
Previous Weekly Low64.39
Previous Monthly High80.75
Previous Monthly Low72.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%73.31
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%72.91
Daily Pivot Point S172.6
Daily Pivot Point S271.57
Daily Pivot Point S370.89
Daily Pivot Point R174.31
Daily Pivot Point R274.99
Daily Pivot Point R376.02
 

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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