|

WTI drops and pops in the open on OPEC news

  • WTI starts the day off indecisive in thin trade following weekend news. 
  • OPEC+ agreed to gradually add more oil supplies to the market.

Oil prices start out volatile with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) dropping and popping in the open following weekend news. 

WTI is currently trading flat again at $71.40, but it fell in the open to a low of $70.99 and printed a high of $71.55.

Oil is suffering on the back of expectations of growing supplies and a rise in coronavirus cases that could lead to lockdown restrictions and depressed demand.

The weekend news

''OPEC and its allies agreed to gradually add more oil supplies to the market from August (400,000 b/d monthly hikes until Sep 2022) after Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates resolved a dispute that was blocking the deal.''

On Thursday, the group announced that global demand for oil is expected to increase next year to around levels seen before the pandemic, about 100 million bpd, led by demand growth in the United States, China and India. 

Additionally, from Friday, the US oil rig count continued its slow increase, gaining two rigs this week to 380 active units, their highest since April 2020, according to energy services firm Baker Hughes. US crude production has also increased by 300,000 barrels per day (bpd) over the last two weeks, rising to 11.4 million bpd in the week ended July 9, the highest since May 2020, according to federal data. 

WTI technical analysis

Technically, the price is meeting a daily support at the lows and considering the M-formation, the price could be on the verge of an upward correction of 50% of the bearish impulse to test the prior lows of 73.20.

If the price fails to break the resistance, then it would be expected to lead to an onward downside continuation in the coming week:

The targetted area is between the 67.50s and 65.30s. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

160.80: Japanese Yen remains close to nearly two-year lows

USD/JPY inches lower after four days of gains, trading around 160.60 during the Asian hours. The USD/JPY pair surged to 160.80 the previous day, marking its highest level since July 2024 and significantly heightening speculation that Japanese authorities could soon intervene to support the struggling Yen.

Australian Dollar remains in positive territory after paring recent gains

AUD/USD pares its daily gains, remaining in the positive territory and trading around 0.7010 during the European hours. The pair appreciated as the Australian Dollar received support from prevailing hawkish sentiment surrounding the Reserve Bank of Australia’s policy outlook.

Gold adds to recent losses, remains below $4,250

Gold struggles to attract buyers on Thursday and remains in negative territory below $4,250 per troy ounce. The precious metal finds some support from the easing of tensions in the Middle East, which has helped stabilise market sentiment, but broad-based US Dollar strength following the Fed meeting continues to weigh on price action.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP pare losses on increasing bets of Fed tighter monetary policy

Cryptocurrency prices are broadly moderating downwards on Thursday, as market participants assess the impact of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) hawkish monetary policy stance.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.

The next big AI trade may not be about chips or software

Artificial intelligence has already created some of the biggest winners in modern market history. Chipmakers have surged, data centre construction is booming, and electricity demand forecasts are changing globally.