|

Wake Up Wall Street (SPX) (QQQ): Virgin Galactic to the moon, indices not far behind!

Here is what you need to know on Friday, June 25:

Equity markets continue to set more and more records as 2021 progresses with any dip in danger of being devoured by hungry buyers. The Fed wobble from last Thursday and Friday set up the latest dip and sure enough record highs swiftly followed. The Fed's balance sheet hit another record high keeping the strong correlation in place, the Fed being the lead indicator. The chart below shows the correlation and note that the Fed balance sheet hit a record high again last week.

Mega tech continues to drive higher with Facebook (FB) and Alphabet (GOOGL) both at or near record highs on Thursday, while Tesla continues its breakout (see more) and Apple also breaks higher, see here.

The dollar remains steady at 1.1950 versus the euro, Oil is flat at $73.30, Bitcoin lower by 4% at $33,200 and Gold is $1,788. The fear guage VIX and yields are lower. The VIX is at 16 while the 10-year yield slumbers at 1.49% despite the high PCE data. PCE Core highest since 2008, PCE index highest since 1990's!

See Forex today

European markets are mixed but largely around flat, FTSE +0.1%, Dax -0.1% and EuroStoxx -0.2%.

US futures are flat for S&P and Nasdaq, while the Dow is up 0.3%. 

Wall street top news

US consumer spending 0.0% versus expected 0.4%.

US PCE Price Index, Core +0.5% versus forecast +0.6%.

University of Michigan Sentiment is due at 1500 GMT/1000 EST.

Delta variant of Covid continues to become the dominant strain as governments and countries ponder delays to reopening strategies. Israel, the world's most vaccinated country, sees cases quadruple as it reintroducess mask guidance.

US Senate leader Mitch McConnell says he is pessimistic on the infrastructure bill after President Biden's comments.

Germanys Economic Minister says expected to reach an agreement between EU and US over steel tariffs by end of 2021.

Virgin Galactic (SPCE) looks like being the first stock to the moon (sorry AMC and GameStop) as it receives FAA ok to fly passengers to space. Up 15% premarket.

Nike (NKE) keeps going in premarket after last night's numbers, up 12% as EPS but in particular guidance beat estimates.

FedEx (FDX) EPS $5.01 just ahead of forecast, revenue also ahead. CEO says can't find enough workers though so the stock drops 3% in premarket. You'll hear this a lot.

CarMax (KMX) EPS beats, shares up 6% premarket.

FootLocker (FL) and UnderArmour (UA) up 4% in premarket, most likely dragged up by Nike (NKE).

Logitech (LOGI) downgraded by Goldman. Drops 3% premarket.

Netflix (NFLX) upgraded by Credit Suisse. Up 2% premarket.

Blackberry (BB) meme name down 3% premarket as reports better than expected loss and higher revenue than forecast on Thursday but Canaccord and CIBC downgrade on Friday.

Bank stocks (JPM, BAC, C) pass Fed stress tests meaning they can resume buybacks and dividends. CNBC.

Nokia (NOK) Godman upgrades, up 3% premarket.

NetApp (NTAP) Raymond James upgrades, stock up 3% premarket.

Upgrades, downgrades, premarket movers

Source: Benzinga Pro

Economic releases


Like this article? Help us with some feedback by answering this survey:

Author

Ivan Brian

Ivan Brian

FXStreet

Ivan Brian started his career with AIB Bank in corporate finance and then worked for seven years at Baxter. He started as a macro analyst before becoming Head of Research and then CFO.

More from Ivan Brian
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD stays offered just above 1.1400

EUR/USD keeps the downtrend well in place for yet another day, challenging the 1.1400 contention zone on Tuesday. The continuation of the selling impulse in spot comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar, which continues to find support in the persistent effervescence surrounding the US-Iran crisis.

Middle East crisis intensifies, Gold up

Gold now seems to have embarked on a consolidative phase below the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Meanwhile, uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict and rising expectations for a hawkish Fed policy outlook are expected to limit the precious metal’s bullish momentum in the near term.

XRP rebounds on rising on-chain activity
Ripple (XRP) ticks up and trades around $1.13 at the time of writing on Tuesday. This rebound aligns with a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, attributed to reports that mediators between the United States (US) and Iran are seeking a 10-day cessation of strikes to find a way back to the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).
The Iranian war has again risen
The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.