USD/ZAR: Stop loss lowered to 17.45 as SARB cut – TDS

FXStreet Team FXStreet

SARB cuts by 50bps but more easing is to come as we will see further deterioration of economic activity that should suggest a correction of the ZAR vs USD. Therefore, analysts at TD Securities adjust the stop loss on the long USD/ZAR position opened earlier today.

Key quotes

“SARB has cut 50bps today, in line with our forecast and the consensus expectations, and in spite of growing expectations for a larger cut today.”

“The highlights for the day are a downside revision for real GDP growth to -7% in 2020 from -6.1% previously, and average CPI for the year to 3.4% from 3.6%.”

“We believe that the current and future environment, combined with the SARB's rhetoric and gradual adjustment, leaves the door open for another cut, that we currently estimate in a final 50bps of easing in the July meeting.”

“As USD/ZAR keeps falling (at +1.6% vs USD, the rand is the best-performing currency today), it is fast approaching the RSI oversold threshold - a level that has often proved very short-lived in the past and good mean-reverting indicator. We, therefore, lower the stop to 17.45.”

Author

FXStreet Team

FXStreet

EUR/USD: Bears retain control below 1.1780-1.1770 confluence breakpoint

The EUR/USD pair remains on the back foot through the Asian session on Friday and currently trades just above mid-1.1700s, well within striking distance of a nearly one-month low set the previous day.

GBP/USD seems vulnerable near one-month low vs. USD as traders await US data

The GBP/USD pair prolongs its weekly downtrend for the fifth consecutive day on Friday and slides back closer to a nearly one-month low, touched the previous day. Spot prices trade below mid-1.3400s during the Asian session on Friday and seem vulnerable to slide further as traders now look to important US macro data for a fresh impetus.

Gold eyes next breakout on US GDP, PCE inflation data

Gold sticks to recent gains around the $5,000-mark early Friday, biding time before the high-impact US macro events. The focus is now on the US fourth-quarter Gross Domestic Product, core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index and the Supreme Court’s ruling on President Donald Trump’s tariffs.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple remain range-bound as breakdown risks rise

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are trading sideways within consolidation ranges on Friday, signaling a lack of directional bias in the broader crypto market. BTC rebounded from key support, and ETH is nearing the lower consolidation boundary, while XRP is holding at its lower trendline boundary.

Hawkish Fed minutes and a market finding its footing

It was green across the board for US Stock market indexes at the close on Wednesday, with most S&P 500 names ending higher, adding 38 points (0.6%) to 6,881 overall. At the GICS sector level, energy led gains, followed by technology and consumer discretionary, while utilities and real estate posted the largest losses.

Injective token surges over 13% following the approval of the mainnet upgrade proposal

Injective price rallies over 13% on Thursday after the network confirmed the approval of its IIP-619 proposal. The green light for the mainnet upgrade has boosted traders’ sentiment, as the upgrade aims to scale Injective’s real-time Ethereum Virtual Machine architecture and enhance its capabilities to support next-generation payments.