|

USD/TRY Price Analysis: Holds ground above 27.00, aligns to a support at 38.2% Fibo

  • USD/TRY trades above 27.00 due to the Fed’s hawkish stance regarding the interest rate trajectory.
  • Momentum indicators suggest that bullish sentiment prevails in the market.
  • The pair could find the key resistance around the monthly high at 27.75.

USD/TRY holds ground above the 27.00 psychological level aligned to the immediate support level of 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 26.82 during the European session on Thursday.

A firm break below the latter could exert pressure on the USD/TRY pair to navigate the region around the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 26.38, followed by the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 26.24 aligned to the 26.00 psychological level.

The US Dollar (USD) is receiving upward support against the Turkish Lira (TRY) as a result of the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish stance regarding the trajectory of interest rates. This is attributed to the robust economic growth and inflationary pressures in the United States (US).

On the upside, the USD/TRY pair could face a challenge around the monthly high at 27.75, followed by August’s high at 27.88 level.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line remains above the centerline and the signal line. This configuration suggests that the momentum in the underlying asset's price is relatively strong.

However, the momentum in the pair indicates that bullish sentiment prevails in the market as the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above the 50 level.

USD/TRY: Daily Chart

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with weekly lows near 1.1770

EUR/USD now comes under further selling pressure, breaking below the 1.1800 support to challenge the area of weekly throughs near 1.1770 on Thursday. The pair’s decline comes in response to marked gains in the US Dollar amid steady geopolitical tensions. Ealier in the day, the ECB’s Lagarde delivered cautious remarks, although the currency remained apathetic.

GBP/USD threatens the 200-day SMA near 1.3440

GBP/USD rapidly leaves behind Wednesday’s strong advance, coming under heavy pressure and retesting the 1.3440 zone, where the critical 200-day SMA is located. Cable’s deep pullback follows the strong gains in the Greenback, while investors continue to pencil in a potential BoE rate cut in March.

Gold trims gains, slips back to around $5,170

Gold is now facing some downside pressure, hovering around the $5,170 region on Thursday. The yellow metal surrenders part of its earlier gains on the back of the resurgence of the buying interest in the Greenback. In the meantime, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to limit the downside potential for now.

Stellar: Relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Stellar is trading around $0.16 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding more than 8% in the previous day. Derivatives data paints a negative picture as XLM’s short bets hit a monthly high while Open Interest continues to decline.

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Bitcoin steadies as traders eye US–Iran talks

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Thursday after a 6.2% relief rally the previous day amid a broader downward trend.