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USD/TRY looks to test 3.15 in 12-month – Danske Bank

Senior Strategist at Danske Bank Vladimir Miklashevsky expects the Turkish Lira to depreciate towards the 3.15 area within a year’s time.

Key Quotes

“We expect the central bank to keep its key rate unchanged in the near future to stabilise the TRY and push consumer prices down to pre-coup attempt levels under 7% y/y. Yet, the pressure on the central bank to cut the key rate could increase as Turkish prosecutors see Gulenist-groups in the bank”.

“Given the prevailing political uncertainty and economic slowdown while geopolitical tension has eased and economic ties with Russia are being restored, we keep our USD/TRY short- and medium-term post-coup attempt forecasts from July to 2.98 in 1M (previously 3.12), 3.05 in 3M (previously 3.20), 3.07 in 6M (previously 3.25) and 3.15 in 12M (previously 3.35)”.

    1. R3 3.0049
    2. R2 2.9905
    3. R1 2.9665
  1. PP 2.9521
    1. S1 2.9281
    2. S2 2.9137
    3. S3 2.8897

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

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