|

USD/TRY challenges all-time highs near 8.80 post-CBRT

  • USD/TRY leaps to the vicinity of 8.8000.
  • The CBRT surprised everybody by cutting rates to 18%.

The Turkish lira depreciated to nearly all-time lows vs. the greenback and pushes USD/TRY to the 8.8000 zone on Thursday.

USD/TRY up on dovish CBRT

USD/TRY quickly climbed to new highs after the Turkish central bank (CBRT) increased the One-week Repo Rate by 100bps to 18% against (almost) all odds at Thursday’s meeting.

The decision by the CBRT caught markets off-guard despite the central bank announced in past weeks that it might start setting the policy rate based on the core inflation, which is lower than the headline reading.

USD/TRY key levels

So far, the pair is gaining 1.43% at 8.7680 and a drop below 8.6056 (weekly low Sep.21) would aim for 8.4920 (55-day SMA) and finally 8.2590 (monthly low Sep.6). On the other hand, the next up barrier lines up at 8.7965 (monthly high Sep.23) followed by 8.7974 (2021 high Jun.25).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).