USD/THB faces extra gains above 32.10 – UOB

Quek Ser Leang at UOB Group’s Global Economics & Markets Research reviews the prospects for USD/THB.

Key Quotes

“After trading within the weekly Ichimoku cloud for more than a month, USD/THB cracked the top of the cloud resistance as it rocketed to a high of 32.10 last week (USD/THB closed clearly above the cloud for the first time since September last year). On a 2-week basis, USD/THB gained a whopping 2.28%. Such an outsized rally is not common and in the past 5 years, there were only 3 instances where USD/THB gained more than 2% within two weeks. The outsized rally is currently holding just below the major long-term declining trend-line resistance connecting the highs of Dec 2016 and Apr 2020.”

“In view of the impulsive surge, a break of the major trend-line appears likely. As can be seen in the chart above, previous instances of break of trend-line in USD/THB has resulted in a rapid continuation of the trend. In other words, if there is a clear break of the Dec 2016/Apr2020 trend-line near 32.10, it could lead to further rapid and sharp advance in USD/THB. From a longer-term perspective, resistance is at 32.50, above this level, the next resistance level of note is not until the 2020 high of 33.18. The base of the cloud at 31.50 is acting as rather solid support now but only a break of 31.30 would indicate that the risk for a higher USD/THB within these several months has dissipated.”

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Feed news

How do emotions affect trade?
Follow up our daily analysts guidance

Subscribe Today!    

Latest Forex News

Latest Forex News

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD remains pressured after US data misses estimates

EUR/USD is trading closer to 1.1750, paring its recovery from earlier in the day as the safe-haven dollar is bid. US Consumer Sentiment missed estimates with 72 points in September. The financial woes of China's Evergrande are weighing on sentiment.


GBP/USD trades under 1.38 amid on UK data, dollar strength

GBP/USD is on the back foot, trading under 1.38 after UK Retail Sales figures disappointed with -0.9% in August, worse than expected. Brexit uncertainty and dollar demand weighed on the pair earlier. 


XAU/USD surrenders intraday gains, drops closer to $1,750 level

Gold struggled to preserve its intraday gains and dropped to the lower end of the daily trading range during the early North American session. 

Gold News

Experts say Ripple will win SEC lawsuit, which might propel XRP to new all-time highs

The latest development in the ongoing SEC vs. Ripple lawsuit is that documents are classified as privileged and blocked for public viewing. Though institutional investors are yet to take big bets on the altcoin in 2021, retail investors are actively trading in XRP.

Read more

US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Preview: Markets will have to look hard for positive signs

Consumer outlook expected to rebound to 72.2 in September. August’s 70.2 was the lowest since December 2011. Inflation and Delta variant wearing on US optimism. Markets face negative dollar risk from fading consumer optimism.

Read more