USD/NOK with light losses on quiet Friday, cautious Fed supports the USD

USD/NOK saw mild losses on Friday’s session, around 10.66.
Despite mixed reactions to softening economic data, the Dollar remains steady due to a cautious stance from Fed officials.
The Fed recognized progress but that it needs further data to start cutting.

Patricio Martín FXStreet

The USD/NOK stands mildly down on Friday with the Greenback holding its ground thanks to the cautious tone of the Federal Reserve (Fed) officials. They mention that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures have yet to meet the Fed's desired targets which makes the market attach to their bets of the easing starting in September.

Fed officials, including Raphael Bostic, Loretta Mester, and Thomas Barkin, have adopted a cautious stance in light of recent US economic data. Despite softening figures, the US Dollar has remained resilient, reflecting confidence in the existing monetary policy. The difficulty appears in the inflation trajectory, with Bostic and Mester both emphasizing the necessity of awaiting further data before deciding on potential rate adjustments. Barkin's remarks echo this cautious mindset, noting that the current CPI does not reflect the Fed’s target for inflation, suggesting possible adjustments in the near future.

USD/NOK technical analysis

On the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for the USD/NOK pair is in negative territory, marking an overall bearish momentum. There is a gradual descent, indicating a continuous sell-off with no immediate signs of reversal. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram produces flat red bars, suggesting a stable negative momentum supplementing further support to the prevailing downward pressure.

USD/NOK daily chart

When considering the Simple Moving Average (SMA) analysis, the pair can be seen between the 200 and 100-day SMAs which reflects a negative outlook in the overall trend. On the short-term, the outlook also favors the bears as the pair stands below the 20-day SMA.

USD/NOK

Overview
Today last price	10.68
Today Daily Change	-0.0142
Today Daily Change %	-0.13
Today daily open	10.6942

Trends
Daily SMA20	10.9133
Daily SMA50	10.8101
Daily SMA100	10.6417
Daily SMA200	10.7096

Levels
Previous Daily High	10.7331
Previous Daily Low	10.6045
Previous Weekly High	10.9612
Previous Weekly Low	10.6571
Previous Monthly High	11.1373
Previous Monthly Low	10.518
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	10.684
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	10.6537
Daily Pivot Point S1	10.6214
Daily Pivot Point S2	10.5487
Daily Pivot Point S3	10.4929
Daily Pivot Point R1	10.75
Daily Pivot Point R2	10.8059
Daily Pivot Point R3	10.8786

Author

Patricio Martín

FXStreet

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

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