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USD/MXN rises to near 17.24 as Fed Powell dismissed the March rate cut

  • USD/MXN edges higher on Fed Powell’s hawkish remarks on interest rate trajectory.
  • Banxico may consider an interest rate cut in March on slower growth of Mexican GDP.
  • US Dollar could face a challenge as US labor data is expected to slow down.

USD/MXN moves in an upward direction on stronger US Dollar (USD), which could be attributed to the Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell’s dismissal of the March rate cut. The USD/MXN pair edges higher to near 17.24 during the European hours on Thursday.

The Mexican Peso (MXN) experiences losses in light of expectations that the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) may contemplate a reduction in interest rates during its March meeting as the Mexican Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures for the fourth quarter increased but were lower than anticipated. The market sentiment suggests a cautious approach by the Banxico regarding interest rate adjustments. However, the markets have already factored in the possibility of no interest rate adjustment in the upcoming February policy meeting.

The improved United States (US) yields are reinforcing the strength of the US Dollar due to the positive market sentiment surrounding the Fed’s interest rate trajectory. The US Dollar Index (DXY) inches higher around 103.70 with the improving 2-year and 10-year yields on US bond coupons at 4.23% and 3.94, respectively, by the press time.

However, the Greenback faced challenges after the release of disappointing-than-expected US employment figures on Wednesday. The US ADP Employment Change reported 107K for January, falling short of the expected 145K, with the previous reading at 158K in December. Thursday is expected to capture attention with key economic indicators, including US Initial Jobless Claims, Nonfarm Productivity, and ISM Manufacturing PMI.

USD/MXN: technical levels to watch

Overview
Today last price17.2477
Today Daily Change0.0400
Today Daily Change %0.23
Today daily open17.2077
 
Trends
Daily SMA2017.0878
Daily SMA5017.1367
Daily SMA10017.4143
Daily SMA20017.333
 
Levels
Previous Daily High17.2273
Previous Daily Low17.0985
Previous Weekly High17.3863
Previous Weekly Low17.0567
Previous Monthly High17.3871
Previous Monthly Low16.7842
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%17.1781
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%17.1477
Daily Pivot Point S117.1283
Daily Pivot Point S217.049
Daily Pivot Point S316.9995
Daily Pivot Point R117.2572
Daily Pivot Point R217.3067
Daily Pivot Point R317.386

(The story was corrected on Thursday at 10:30 GMT to say "The Mexican Peso (MXN) experiences losses" instead of "Swiss Franc (CHF)" in the second paragraph.)

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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