USD/MXN Price Analysis: Mexican peso hit by risk aversion, approaches 23.00


  • USD/MXN jumps almost 4% as Dow Jones tumbles more than 6%
  • Mexican peso and South African rand, the worst performers in the world.

The USD/MXN jumped on Thursday and rose from 21.85 to 22.76, reaching the highest level since May 22. So far, it is the worst day for the Mexican peso in at least two months. Risk aversion across global markets weighed on emerging market currencies.

The Mexican peso and the South African rand were the worst performers in the world, falling around 4% versus the greenback. In Wall Street, the Dow Jones dropped more than 6%, turning negative for May.

A sharp correction is taking in place in Wall Street that is also affecting emerging market currencies. The correlation between USD/MXN is strong at the moment. So, if the current decline in US stocks continues, the Mexican peso will likely remain under pressure.

Technical outlook

The rally of the Mexican peso has probably ended, with USD/MXN back above the 20-day moving average, and after Thursday’s rally. Only a pullback in the short term back under 22.00 would suggest that another test of the base at 21.45/50 is possible. On the upside, the next resistance stands at 22.90, followed by 23.20 and 23.55.

 

USD/MXN

Overview
Today last price 22.7208
Today Daily Change 0.8668
Today Daily Change % 3.97
Today daily open 21.854
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 22.4915
Daily SMA50 23.4954
Daily SMA100 21.9833
Daily SMA200 20.6054
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 22.0474
Previous Daily Low 21.6778
Previous Weekly High 22.2833
Previous Weekly Low 21.4932
Previous Monthly High 24.8895
Previous Monthly Low 22.0047
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 21.819
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 21.9062
Daily Pivot Point S1 21.6721
Daily Pivot Point S2 21.4902
Daily Pivot Point S3 21.3025
Daily Pivot Point R1 22.0416
Daily Pivot Point R2 22.2293
Daily Pivot Point R3 22.4112

 

 

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