|

USD/MXN Price Analysis: Mexican peso hit by risk aversion, approaches 23.00

  • USD/MXN jumps almost 4% as Dow Jones tumbles more than 6%
  • Mexican peso and South African rand, the worst performers in the world.

The USD/MXN jumped on Thursday and rose from 21.85 to 22.76, reaching the highest level since May 22. So far, it is the worst day for the Mexican peso in at least two months. Risk aversion across global markets weighed on emerging market currencies.

The Mexican peso and the South African rand were the worst performers in the world, falling around 4% versus the greenback. In Wall Street, the Dow Jones dropped more than 6%, turning negative for May.

A sharp correction is taking in place in Wall Street that is also affecting emerging market currencies. The correlation between USD/MXN is strong at the moment. So, if the current decline in US stocks continues, the Mexican peso will likely remain under pressure.

Technical outlook

The rally of the Mexican peso has probably ended, with USD/MXN back above the 20-day moving average, and after Thursday’s rally. Only a pullback in the short term back under 22.00 would suggest that another test of the base at 21.45/50 is possible. On the upside, the next resistance stands at 22.90, followed by 23.20 and 23.55.

USD/MXN

Overview
Today last price22.7208
Today Daily Change0.8668
Today Daily Change %3.97
Today daily open21.854
 
Trends
Daily SMA2022.4915
Daily SMA5023.4954
Daily SMA10021.9833
Daily SMA20020.6054
 
Levels
Previous Daily High22.0474
Previous Daily Low21.6778
Previous Weekly High22.2833
Previous Weekly Low21.4932
Previous Monthly High24.8895
Previous Monthly Low22.0047
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%21.819
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%21.9062
Daily Pivot Point S121.6721
Daily Pivot Point S221.4902
Daily Pivot Point S321.3025
Daily Pivot Point R122.0416
Daily Pivot Point R222.2293
Daily Pivot Point R322.4112

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD consolidates below 1.1700 as markets turn risk-averse

EUR/USD struggles to stage a rebound and trades near the lower limit of its weekly range below 1.1700 on Thursday. The US Dollar benefits from the cautious market stance and doesn't allow the pair to gain traction ahead of mid-tier data releases.

GBP/USD stays in red near 1.3450 on broad USD resilience

GBP/USD stays on the back foot after posting losses for two consecutive days and trades near 1.3450 on Thursday. The souring market mood amid simmering geopolitical tensions make it difficult for the pair to gain traction as focus shift to the the US labor market data.

Gold sticks to intraday losses below $4,450; seems vulnerable to slide further

Gold maintains its offered tone in the second half of the day and trades below $4,450 after posting daily losses on Wednesday. The downfall lacks any obvious fundamental catalyst and could be attributed to some follow-through profit-taking ahead of the release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls report on Friday. 

Pi Network flashes bearish potential as selling pressure mounts

Pi Network trades above $0.2000 at press time on Thursday, following a nearly 2% decline the previous day. Centralized Exchanges have received 1.90 million PI tokens over the last 24 hours, suggesting risk-off sentiment among holders. The technical outlook for the PI token remains bearish, with a risk of a cross below the 20-day Exponential Moving Average. 

2026 economic outlook: Clear skies but don’t unfasten your seatbelts yet

Most years fade into the background as soon as a new one starts. Not 2025: a year of epochal shifts, in which the macroeconomy was the dog that did not bark. What to expect in 2026? The shocks of 2025 will not be undone, but neither will they be repeated.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI flashes bearish potential as selling pressure mounts

Pi Network trades above $0.2000 at press time on Thursday, following a nearly 2% decline the previous day. Centralized Exchanges have received 1.90 million PI tokens over the last 24 hours, suggesting risk-off sentiment among holders.