|

USD/MXN Price Analysis: Finds cushion below 18.00 amid a recovery in USD Index

  • USD/MXN has managed to recapture the critical resistance of 18.00 amid a recovery in the US Dollar.
  • S&P500 futures have extended their losses as investors are cautious ahead of quarterly results from giant technology stocks.
  • USD/MXN is auctioning in a Descending Triangle chart pattern, which indicates a volatility contraction.

The USD/MXN pair has extended its recovery above the potential resistance of 18.00 in the Asian session. A recovery attempt by the US Dollar Index (DXY) after a nosedive move has infused some strength in the major. The USD Index has rebounded after printing a fresh weekly low of 101.20. The USD Index still needs to fulfill a lot of filters to prove a reversal.

S&P500 futures have extended their losses in the Asian session as investors are cautious ahead of quarterly results from giant technology stocks. The demand for US government bonds has increased as the Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to deliver a neutral interest rate guidance after a 25 basis point (bp) interest rate hike.

USD/MXN is auctioning in a Descending Triangle chart pattern on a two-hour scale, which indicates a volatility contraction. The downward-sloping trendline of the aforementioned chart pattern is plotted from April 05 high at 18.40 while the horizontal support is placed from April 03 low at 17.96. The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 18.00 is overlapping the asset, indicating a sideways performance.

Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in the 40.00-60.00 range, signaling an absence of a potential trigger.

A breakdown of April 03 low at 17.96 will drag the asset to a fresh five-year low below 26 September 2017 low at 17.88 followed by 25 September 2017 low at 17.72.

On the flip side, a break above April 19 high at 18.15 will drive the asset toward April 05 high at 18.40 and March 14 low at 18.55.

USD/MXN two-hour chart

USD/MXN

Overview
Today last price17.9942
Today Daily Change0.0120
Today Daily Change %0.07
Today daily open17.9822
 
Trends
Daily SMA2018.0938
Daily SMA5018.3032
Daily SMA10018.7448
Daily SMA20019.3433
 
Levels
Previous Daily High18.0479
Previous Daily Low17.966
Previous Weekly High18.1542
Previous Weekly Low17.9329
Previous Monthly High19.2324
Previous Monthly Low17.8977
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%17.9973
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%18.0166
Daily Pivot Point S117.9495
Daily Pivot Point S217.9168
Daily Pivot Point S317.8676
Daily Pivot Point R118.0314
Daily Pivot Point R218.0806
Daily Pivot Point R318.1133

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats below 1.1750 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes above 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and moves sideways above 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold reverses its direction and advances toward $4,400 after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking before the New Year holiday. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).