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USD/MXN Price Analysis: Collapses to 4 ½-year lows around 18.4000

  • USD/MXN drops below last Thursday’s low, extending its losses to a fresh multi-year low of around $18.40.
  • USD/MXN Price Analysis: A break below $18.40 would pave the way toward $18.00.

The USD/MXN hit an almost 4-year-and-a-half month low around 18.4485, a level last seen in October 2018, extending its losses by 0.89% in the week. At the time of writing, the USD/MXN exchanges hands at 18.4161.

Since the beginning of the week, the Mexican Peso (MXN) has shown resilience to register a daily loss vs. the greenback (USD). Even though the USD/MXN Tuesday’s session finished in the green, prices were reluctant to break solid resistance around the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 18.7999 that day. Albeit the USD/MXN closed with gains of 0.31%, analyzing price action, the large wick on top of Tuesday’s candle’s body was a forecast of what was upcoming in the rest of the week.

Hence, the USD/MXN dropped for two consecutive days, and it’s on its way toward the 18.00 psychological level, as it has decisively broken the $18.50 mark.

The USD/MXN’s next support would be August 7, 2018, daily low at 18.4047. Breach of the latter and the next support would be the psychological $18.00 barrier. Once cleared, the USD/MXN would dip to April 17, 2018, swing low at 17.9388, which would be up for grabs.

Contrarily, if the USD/MXN reconquers $18.50, that could open the door for recovery. Therefore, the USD/MXN first resistance would be the 20-day EMA At 18.7312, followed by the confluence of the February 9 daily high and the 50-day EMA around 18.9922. Once cleared, the next stop will be the 100-day EMA at 19.2869.

USD/MXN Daily chart

USD/MXN Key technical levels

USD/MXN

Overview
Today last price18.4278
Today Daily Change-0.1038
Today Daily Change %-0.56
Today daily open18.5316
 
Trends
Daily SMA2018.7661
Daily SMA5019.1176
Daily SMA10019.4073
Daily SMA20019.7694
 
Levels
Previous Daily High18.6845
Previous Daily Low18.4807
Previous Weekly High19.2901
Previous Weekly Low18.639
Previous Monthly High19.5361
Previous Monthly Low18.5663
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%18.5586
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%18.6066
Daily Pivot Point S118.4467
Daily Pivot Point S218.3619
Daily Pivot Point S318.243
Daily Pivot Point R118.6504
Daily Pivot Point R218.7693
Daily Pivot Point R318.8542

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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