|

USD/JPY weakens as investors seek refuge in the Yen amid weak US PMI data

  • US May’s ISM Manufacturing PMI fell to a fresh six-month low.
  • USD/JPY extends losses on rising demand for the safe-haven Yen.
  • The US Dollar falls against its major counterparts with Trump tariffs back in focus.
  • The Japanese Yen benefits from its safe-haven appeal, with the USD/JPY pair trading below 143.00 at the time of writing.

The Japanese Yen (JPY) is gaining strength against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, as investors seek refuge in the Yen’s safe-haven appeal.

With renewed concerns surrounding US President Donald Trump’s aggressive tariff policies triggering a wave of market caution, USD/JPY has extended losses, trading below 143.00 at the time of writing.

Trump tariffs weigh on US Dollar, tumbles to six-week low per DXY

One of the key factors driving the current weakness in the US Dollar is the growing anxiety surrounding the impact of President Trump's trade policies. The US has recently threatened to double tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from 25% to 50%, sparking fears of an escalating trade war. 

These moves are raising concerns among investors that the global economy could face slower growth, particularly as inflationary pressures from higher import costs could ripple through the economy.

Still in the United States, May’s ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) fell to 48.5, missing forecasts of a modest uptick to 49.5 and reaching a six-month low.

Trump’s tariffs, coupled with the ongoing trade standoff with China and other major economies, have the potential to hinder US economic growth. If tariffs continue to rise, businesses may face higher input costs, potentially leading to reduced corporate profit margins and lower consumer spending. 

In contrast, the Japanese Yen is gaining ground. The Yen is considered a safe-haven currency, meaning that in times of global uncertainty, investors tend to move their assets into the Yen. Its safe-haven appeal has been particularly evident in the wake of the increasing US tariff threats and the uncertainty surrounding global trade.

As markets continue to digest the implications of Trump's tariff policies, the Yen has appreciated against the USD, with the USD/JPY currency pair dropping to key support levels. Japan's relatively stable economic and political environment, coupled with its strong industrial base and low inflation, continues to make the Yen an attractive alternative to riskier currencies during turbulent times.

Market participants are closely monitoring developments in US trade policy, as any new announcements regarding tariffs could trigger further volatility in the USD/JPY pair. The upcoming meeting between US President Trump and Germany’s new Chancellor Friedrich Merz, expected to take place this week, could also add fuel to the ongoing uncertainty and influence the direction of the Dollar.

Japanese Yen PRICE This week

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies this week. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.70%-0.47%-0.67%-0.17%-0.79%-1.05%-0.68%
EUR0.70%0.23%0.05%0.52%-0.08%-0.38%0.01%
GBP0.47%-0.23%-0.15%0.29%-0.31%-0.61%-0.22%
JPY0.67%-0.05%0.15%0.50%-0.13%-0.40%-0.11%
CAD0.17%-0.52%-0.29%-0.50%-0.61%-0.89%-0.51%
AUD0.79%0.08%0.31%0.13%0.61%-0.24%0.17%
NZD1.05%0.38%0.61%0.40%0.89%0.24%0.39%
CHF0.68%-0.01%0.22%0.11%0.51%-0.17%-0.39%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Tammy Da Costa, CFTe®

Tammy is an economist and market analyst with a deep passion for financial markets, particularly commodities and geopolitics.

More from Tammy Da Costa, CFTe®
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles to extend advance above 1.1800

The EUR/USD pair posts a fresh weekly low near 1.1740 during the Asian trading session on Wednesday. The major currency pair is under pressure as the US Dollar edges higher despite Federal Open Market Committee minutes of the December policy meeting, released on Tuesday, showing that most policymakers stressed the need for further interest rate cuts.

GBP/USD tests 1.3450 support after moving below nine-day EMA

GBP/USD remains subdued for the second consecutive day, trading around 1.3460 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates a weakening of a bullish bias as the pair is positioned slightly below the lower boundary of the ascending channel pattern.

Gold jumps on US rate cut prospects, safe-haven demand

Gold price extends the rally above $4,350 during the early European trading hours on Wednesday. Gold's price has surged about 65% this year and is set to record its biggest annual gains since 1979. The rally in the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026. Lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Gold, supporting the non-yielding precious metal.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).