USD/JPY tumbles toward 108.00 on lower US yields

US Dollar falls across the board as US yields hit fresh lows.
USD/JPY turns negative after being unable to break 108.30 and the 20-day SMA.

Matías Salord FXStreet

The USD/JPY pair dropped below Asian session lows and fell to 108.04. As of writing it was trading at 108.05/10 with the negative tone intact. Earlier today, the pair was unable to break above the 108.30 area that became a strong resistance.

The move lower took place amid a decline in US yields and also as equity prices in Wall Street extended losses. The 10-year yield fell to 2.07%, the lowest since July 11. The DOW JONES was falling 0.15% and the NASDAQ 0.17%.

Another driver was the decline of the US Dollar over the last hours across the board. The DXY was falling 0.18% at 97.20, trimming one-third of yesterday’s gains.

Levels to watch

If the decline in USD/JPY continues, it might test the 108.00 area. Below the next critical level is 107.80 (weekly lows); a break lower could clear the way to more losses. On the upside, the 20-day moving average at 108.20 and 108.30 (daily high) form a barrier that if broken, should lead to further USD strength.

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price	108.1
Today Daily Change	-0.14
Today Daily Change %	-0.13
Today daily open	108.24

Trends
Daily SMA20	107.99
Daily SMA50	108.7
Daily SMA100	110.03
Daily SMA200	110.72

Levels
Previous Daily High	108.38
Previous Daily Low	107.82
Previous Weekly High	109
Previous Weekly Low	107.8
Previous Monthly High	108.8
Previous Monthly Low	106.78
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	108.17
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	108.03
Daily Pivot Point S1	107.92
Daily Pivot Point S2	107.59
Daily Pivot Point S3	107.36
Daily Pivot Point R1	108.47
Daily Pivot Point R2	108.7
Daily Pivot Point R3	109.03

Author

Matías Salord

FXStreet

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

AUD/USD bulls seem hesitant near 0.6950

AUD/USD attracts some buyers for the second straight day, though it remains confined within Friday's broader range amid mixed cues. The US PCE data and the US NFP report released last week tempered October Fed hike bets, dragging US bond yields away from multi-year highs and keeping US Dollar bulls on the back foot. However, geopolitical uncertainty is a tailwind for the safe-haven buck, while the RBA's cautious outlook caps the Aussie.

USD/JPY remains confined in a range below 158.00

USD/JPY holds steady around 157.75 during the Asian session on Monday, trading within a one-week-old range. Against the backdrop of soft US PCE data, the US NFP report, released on Friday, tempers October Fed rate-hike bets and drags US bond yields away from multi-year highs. Furthermore, hawkish BoJ expectations amid looming intervention risks support the Japanese Yen, capping the pair. However, geopolitical uncertainty acts as a tailwind for the safe-haven buck and limits the downside.

Gold trades with positive bias around $4,150; upside seems capped

Gold attracts some dip-buyers at the start of a new week, though it remains confined in a familiar range held over the past week or so. Against the backdrop of soft US PCE data, Friday's weak US NFP report tempered bets of an October Fed rate hike. This, in turn, drags US bond yields away from multi-year highs and benefits the non-yielding bullion. The US Dollar, however, draws support from geopolitical uncertainties and could act as a headwind for the precious metal.

Week ahead: Fed minutes in the spotlight amid bond market rout

The first full week of October and the final quarter of the year get underway with little fanfare in terms of the economic agenda. But far from being short on excitement, the coming week will test market nerves, as government bond yields continue to soar on growing worries that the energy crisis will only get worse, fuelling inflation.

CFTC Report: Speculators turn more defensive as Oil exposure falls

The week in one sentence: During the week leading up to September 29, long positions in crude oil were significantly reduced, while short positions in the Canadian Dollar went up. In addition, the positioning of the Australian Dollar and the Japanese Yen declined, while Coffee buying stood out against a more general background of defensiveness.

The Euro is near a one-year low: Inflation could trigger its rebound, not its fall

EUR/USD has fallen to its lowest level since May 2025. The pair hit 1.1312 on Wednesday and trades well below the January peak of 1.2082. The decline reflects a powerful combination of US Dollar strength, geopolitical uncertainty and renewed concerns about Europe's exposure to higher energy prices.