USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Greenback bulls looking for a breakout above 112.55 resistance

USD/JPY is consolidating after the recent 280-pip drop.
USD/JPY bulls will need to overcome the 200-period simple moving average or else a small pullback towards 112.00 can be on the cards. The RSI and MACD indicators are constructive however the Stochastic is already in overbought condition.
A break above the 200 SMA and 112.55 should open the doors to 113.00 figure.

Flavio Tosti Independent Analyst

USD/JPY 4-hour chart

Spot rate: 112.28
Relative change: 0.03%
High: 112.43
Low: 112.15

Main trend: Bullish

Resistance 1: 112.55 September 27 low
Resistance 2: 113.00 figure
Resistance 3: 113.55 October 2 low
Resistance 4: 113.55 October 2 low
Resistance 5: 114.00 figure
Resistance 6: 114.80 November 2017 high
Resistance 7: 115.50 March 10, 2017 high

Support 1: 112.00-112.17 zone, figure and August 1 swing high
Support 2: 111.84 August 29 swing high
Support 3: 111.00 figure

Author

Flavio Tosti

Independent Analyst

GBP/USD flirts with tops near 1.3470

GBP/USD manages to regain composure and challenge the area of daily highs around 1.3470 on Friday. Cable picks up pace despite marginal gains in the Greenback in a context of swelling geopolitical tensions and rising global oil prices.

Gold remains below $4,100 despite receding Fed hike bets, weak USD

Gold opens with a bullish gap at the start of a new week amid receding Fed rate-hike expectations and a bearish US Dollar. Oil prices tumbled after Trump canceled an attack on Iran and said that a deal is near, easing inflation fears. This forces traders to dial back bets on extreme Fed tightening and drags the USD to a fresh low since June 17, which, in turn, is supporting the non-yielding bullion. However, the recent repeated failures to find acceptance above $4,100 warrant caution for XAU/USD bulls.

Gold: The $4,000 mark holds the downside for now

Gold faces renewed selling pressure, falling sharply toweard the $4,000 mark per troy ounce as the US Dollar regains momentum. Escalating US-Iran tensions are keeping inflation concerns and expectations of further Fed rate hikes alive, weighing further on the yellow metal.

Week ahead: US payrolls report and AI earnings to keep investors on edge

After the Fed decision, NFP report awaited for more rate hike clues. Employment also on the agenda in Canada and New Zealand. Chinese trade and Japanese wage data to be watched too. But Iran and AI headlines to remain in driver’s seat for risk sentiment.

Middle East War updates: Trump holds off Iran strikes on pledge Hormuz deal is close

Here’s a brief recap of the key developments in the Middle East war that occurred over the weekend, which are expected to have a significant impact on markets in the upcoming week. Risk sentiment improves on Monday, undermining demand for the US Dollar Index and drag crude oil prices lower.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?

The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.