|

USD/JPY sits near mid-136.00s, over one-week high; lacks follow-through

  • USD/JPY shot to over a one-week high in reaction to the upbeat NFP report for June.
  • The widening US-Japan rate differential weighed on the JPY and remained supportive.
  • The fundamental backdrop supports prospects for a move towards the 137.00 mark.

The USD/JPY pair recovered its early lost ground to the 135.30 area and turned positive for the fifth successive day on Friday. The intraday uptick picked up pace during the early North American session and pushed spot prices to over a one-week high, around the 136.55 region.

The US dollar stood tall near a two-decade high after the US monthly jobs report that the US economy added 372K jobs in June, far more than the 268K anticipated. The upbeat headline NFP was accompanied by a steady Unemployment rate, which came in at 3.6% for the reported month. Adding to this, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic backed the case for a 75 bps rate hike move at the upcoming FOMC meeting in July.

Speaking to CNBC, Bostic - one of the most dovish policymakers - said that the Fed needs to move aggressively and that the core of the US economy is still strong. This, in turn, pushed the US Treasury bond yields and further widened the US-Japan rate differential. Apart from this, the divergent policy stance adopted by the Fed and Bank of Japan undermined the Japanese yen, which, in turn, lifted the USD/JPY pair.

The USD bulls, however, seemed reluctant to place fresh bets amid slightly overstretched conditions, especially after the recent strong bullish runup. This was seen as the only factor that kept a lid on any meaningful upside for the USD/JPY pair, at least for the time being. That said, the fundamental backdrop supports prospects for a move back towards testing a 24-year high, around the 137.00 mark set in June.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price136.32
Today Daily Change0.32
Today Daily Change %0.24
Today daily open136
 
Trends
Daily SMA20135.3
Daily SMA50131.86
Daily SMA100126.54
Daily SMA200120.35
 
Levels
Previous Daily High136.22
Previous Daily Low135.55
Previous Weekly High137
Previous Weekly Low134.52
Previous Monthly High137
Previous Monthly Low128.65
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%135.96
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%135.81
Daily Pivot Point S1135.63
Daily Pivot Point S2135.26
Daily Pivot Point S3134.96
Daily Pivot Point R1136.3
Daily Pivot Point R2136.59
Daily Pivot Point R3136.96

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains offered below 1.1800, looks at US data

EUR/USD is still trading on the defensive in the latter part of Thursday’s session, while the US Dollar maintains its bid bias as investors now gear up for Friday’s key release of the PCE data, advanced Q4 GDP prints and flash PMIs.
 

GBP/USD seems vulnerable near one-month low vs. USD as traders await US data

The GBP/USD pair prolongs its weekly downtrend for the fifth consecutive day on Friday and slides back closer to a nearly one-month low, touched the previous day. Spot prices trade below mid-1.3400s during the Asian session on Friday and seem vulnerable to slide further as traders now look to important US macro data for a fresh impetus.

Gold eyes next breakout on US GDP, PCE inflation data

Gold sticks to recent gains around the $5,000-mark early Friday, biding time before the high-impact US macro events. The focus is now on the US fourth-quarter Gross Domestic Product, core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index and the Supreme Court’s ruling on President Donald Trump’s tariffs.

CME Group to make crypto products available for 24/7 trading in May

The Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group has announced plans to extend trading hours for its regulated cryptocurrency futures and options to 24/7, starting May 29, pending regulatory approval.

Hawkish Fed minutes and a market finding its footing

It was green across the board for US Stock market indexes at the close on Wednesday, with most S&P 500 names ending higher, adding 38 points (0.6%) to 6,881 overall. At the GICS sector level, energy led gains, followed by technology and consumer discretionary, while utilities and real estate posted the largest losses.

Injective token surges over 13% following the approval of the mainnet upgrade proposal

Injective price rallies over 13% on Thursday after the network confirmed the approval of its IIP-619 proposal. The green light for the mainnet upgrade has boosted traders’ sentiment, as the upgrade aims to scale Injective’s real-time Ethereum Virtual Machine architecture and enhance its capabilities to support next-generation payments.