|

USD/JPY seen rangebound between 108.80 and 110.00 – UOB

USD/JPY is now expected to trade on a 108.80-110.00 consolidation theme in the next weeks. Suggested FX Strategists at UOB Group.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “While we highlighted yesterday that ‘deeply overbought conditions suggest that USD is unlikely to strengthen further’, we expected USD to ‘to consolidate and trade between 109.50 and 110.05’. However, USD dropped sharply to 109.34 before settling on a soft note at 109.54 (-0.25%). The sharp drop appears to be running ahead of itself but there is room for USD to dip below the strong support at 109.30. For today, the next support at 109.10 is unlikely to come into the picture. Resistance is at 109.65 followed by 109.85.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “In our latest narrative from last Friday (28 May, spot at 109.90), we indicated that ‘strong boost in momentum suggests further USD strength’. While USD rose to 110.19, the subsequent pullback came close to taking out our ‘strong support’ at 109.30 (overnight low of 109.34). Rapid loss in momentum suggests that USD strength has ended sooner than expected. USD is likely to consolidate and trade between 108.80 and 110.00 for now.”

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, hovers around 1.1900 post-US data

EUR/USD trades slightly on the back foot around the 1.1900 region in a context dominated by the resurgence of some buying interest around the US Dollar on turnaround Tuesday. Looking at the US docket, Retail Sales disappointed expectations in December, while the ADP 4-Week Average came in at 6.5K.

GBP/USD comes under pressure near 1.3680

The better tone in the Greenback hurts the risk-linked complex on Tuesday, prompting GBP/USD to set aside two consecutive days of gains and trade slightly on the defensive below the 1.3700 mark. Investors, in the meantime, keep their attention on key UK data due later in the week.

Gold loses some traction, still above $5,000

Gold faces some selling pressure on Tuesday, surrendering part of its recent two-day advance although managing to keep the trade above the $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The daily pullback in the precious metal comes in response to the modest rebound in the US Dollar, while declining US Treasury yields across the curve seem to limit the downside.

Bitcoin Cash trades lower, risks dead-cat bounce amid bearish signals

Bitcoin Cash trades in the red below $522 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after multiple rejections at key resistance. BCH’s derivatives and on-chain indicators point to growing bearish sentiment and raise the risk of a dead-cat bounce toward lower support levels.

Dollar drops and stocks rally: The week of reckoning for US economic data

Following a sizeable move lower in US technology Stocks last week, we have witnessed a meaningful recovery unfold. The USD Index is in a concerning position; the monthly price continues to hold the south channel support.

Bitcoin Cash trades lower, risks dead-cat bounce amid bearish signals

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) trades in the red below $522 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after multiple rejections at key resistance. BCH’s derivatives and on-chain indicators point to growing bearish sentiment and raise the risk of a dead-cat bounce toward lower support levels.