|

USD/JPY resting up at broken territory (112.00/20) ahead of BoJ

  • USD/JPY is currently trading at 112.20 between a range of 112.05 and 112.23, down from the overnight high of 112.39. 
  • USD/JPY was on the rampage overnight as investors weighed up the divergence between the U.S economy and that of the EU for which sent the DXY higher. 

On a lesser scale, US stocks may have contributed to some weakness in the yen, but figuring the S&P and NASDAQ were printing fresh highs, it's hardly the basis for Japanese pension fund repatriation. Its all down to dollar flows and considering the DXY basket is weighted to the yen by 13.6%, the second largest contributor, its not unusual to see large moves in the pair when the greenback is the driver and stops are triggered - in this case, through 112.10. 

Looking ahead, we have the BoJ and considering the thin markets, on a non-event there will be no action but should there be a significant surprise, the lack of liquidity could be a difficult trade one way or the other and large swings could be on the cards. Traders are more likely to wait to get involved with US data on the cards this week with the main event coming in as US GDP.

"We expect GDP to advance 2.3% q/q saar in Q1, largely keeping with the economy’s Q4 pace. Despite a notable slowdown in consumer spending, we anticipate an offsetting shift from negative to positive contributions for net exports and government spending. Notably, residential investment likely contributed positively to growth for the first time since 2017," analysts at TD Securities explained.

USD/JPY levels

Meanwhile, from a technical point of view, the USD/JPY pair was ending the well above a still flat 20 SMA in the 4 hours chart and above its recent highs, as noted by Valeria Bednarik, the Chief Analyst at FXStreet:

"Technical indicators in the mentioned chart have left the neutral territory, offering strong upward slopes within positive ground, somehow anticipating additional gains ahead. In the mentioned chart, the pair bounced from the 100 SMA, which loses upward momentum but keeps providing an intraday support at around 111.60."

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles to build on recent rebound, holds above 1.1550

EUR/USD trades marginally lower on the day but holds above 1.1550 in the American session, following Thursday's rebound. The pair holds near its intraday high as the US Dollar remains pressured by hopes the Middle East conflict will soon come to an end.

GBP/USD hovers around 1.3400 as investors await war clarity

GBP/USD remains near its daily open, not far from 1.3400, in the second half of Friday's session. The US Dollar lost its previous intraday strength and weakens as investors await clarity on the US-Iran war.

Gold stabilizes above $4,200 as wait-and-see continues

After rising more than 3% on Thursday, Gold (XAU/USD) stabilized around the $4,200 mark in the American session on Friday. The US dollar seesaws between gains and losses, but remains within familiar levels as investors remain skeptical yet hopeful about a resolution to the Middle East conflict.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP recovery slows amid incessant capital outflows

The cryptocurrency remains in a broader corrective bias on Friday, despite majors such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) holding slightly higher than early-week support levels.

SpaceX launches 24% higher at Friday debut
Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX), aka SpaceX, zoomed 24% higher soon after the start of its first IPO trading day on Friday. Shares of the rocket and artificial intelligence (AI) company founded by Elon Musk began trading at about 11:46 am EST and quickly gained speed.
4.2% headline, 0.2% core: Why the Fed's next hike may be targeting the wrong problem

May's CPI put headline inflation at 4.2% on the year, up from 3.8% in April and the hottest reading since April 2023, while core prices rose just 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus and halving April's pace.