|

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Struggles at 144.00 tumbles after hitting two-week peak

  • USD/JPY retreats after a two-week peak of 144.68, dragged down by declining US Treasury yields.
  • Technical indicators maintain a bearish stance with the pair below the Ichimoku Cloud and 200-DMA, suggesting more declines.
  • Key supports identified at the September 20 low of 141.73 and the September 16 low of 139.58.
  • For a bullish reversal, USD/JPY must surpass the Kijun-Sen at 143.44, with further hurdles at 144.00 and the recent high of 144.68.

The USD/JPY retreats after hitting a two-week high of 144.68, sliding some 0.28%. The Greenback is getting battered by worse-than-expected US data and falling US Treasury yields. This and investors' pricing in a 50-basis point (bps) rate cut by the Fed undermined the pair, which trades at 143.14.

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

Despite testing the 144.00 figure for three consecutive trading days, the pair remains in a sustained downtrend. USD/JPY buyers failed to conquer the previously mentioned price level, spurring a leg-down on Tuesday.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hints that momentum favors sellers. USD/JPY remaining below the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) and the 200-day moving average (DMA) could pave the way for testing lower prices.

The next critical support level will be the September 20 low of 141.73, ahead of dropping to the September 16 low of 139.58.

Conversely, if USD/JPY edged toward the Kijun-Sen at 143.44 and clears that level, the pair could aim to challenge 144.00. Further upside is seen over the two-week high of 144.68.

USD/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

Japanese Yen PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the US Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.60%-0.50%-0.30%-0.80%-0.78%-1.17%-0.50%
EUR0.60% 0.10%0.29%-0.24%-0.18%-0.59%0.09%
GBP0.50%-0.10% 0.19%-0.30%-0.27%-0.69%0.00%
JPY0.30%-0.29%-0.19% -0.48%-0.49%-0.89%-0.20%
CAD0.80%0.24%0.30%0.48% 0.02%-0.38%0.31%
AUD0.78%0.18%0.27%0.49%-0.02% -0.39%0.29%
NZD1.17%0.59%0.69%0.89%0.38%0.39% 0.70%
CHF0.50%-0.09%-0.01%0.20%-0.31%-0.29%-0.70% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $4,400

Gold rebounds toward the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday, reversing the previous day’s pullback. The precious metal’s recovery comes as fresh and intense weakness keep weighing on the US Dollar, while traders keep assessing easing expectations of an imminent Fed interest rate hike and the situation from the Middle East.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10
Pi Network (PI) price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases. PI token’s technical outlook is mixed, as bearish momentum wanes to neutral, with bulls eyeing the $0.1000 psychological level.
 Weekly focus: Some relief in US inflation concerns

Actual inflation data for July came out as expected with a 0.1% m/m increase in headline CPI and 0.2% excluding food and energy. Annual headline inflation remains too high at 3.4% and means that wage earners are experiencing stagnating spending power at best, and core inflation is a bit higher than the inflation target of two percent would suggest.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.