|

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Struggles at 144.00 tumbles after hitting two-week peak

  • USD/JPY retreats after a two-week peak of 144.68, dragged down by declining US Treasury yields.
  • Technical indicators maintain a bearish stance with the pair below the Ichimoku Cloud and 200-DMA, suggesting more declines.
  • Key supports identified at the September 20 low of 141.73 and the September 16 low of 139.58.
  • For a bullish reversal, USD/JPY must surpass the Kijun-Sen at 143.44, with further hurdles at 144.00 and the recent high of 144.68.

The USD/JPY retreats after hitting a two-week high of 144.68, sliding some 0.28%. The Greenback is getting battered by worse-than-expected US data and falling US Treasury yields. This and investors' pricing in a 50-basis point (bps) rate cut by the Fed undermined the pair, which trades at 143.14.

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

Despite testing the 144.00 figure for three consecutive trading days, the pair remains in a sustained downtrend. USD/JPY buyers failed to conquer the previously mentioned price level, spurring a leg-down on Tuesday.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hints that momentum favors sellers. USD/JPY remaining below the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) and the 200-day moving average (DMA) could pave the way for testing lower prices.

The next critical support level will be the September 20 low of 141.73, ahead of dropping to the September 16 low of 139.58.

Conversely, if USD/JPY edged toward the Kijun-Sen at 143.44 and clears that level, the pair could aim to challenge 144.00. Further upside is seen over the two-week high of 144.68.

USD/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

Japanese Yen PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the US Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.60%-0.50%-0.30%-0.80%-0.78%-1.17%-0.50%
EUR0.60% 0.10%0.29%-0.24%-0.18%-0.59%0.09%
GBP0.50%-0.10% 0.19%-0.30%-0.27%-0.69%0.00%
JPY0.30%-0.29%-0.19% -0.48%-0.49%-0.89%-0.20%
CAD0.80%0.24%0.30%0.48% 0.02%-0.38%0.31%
AUD0.78%0.18%0.27%0.49%-0.02% -0.39%0.29%
NZD1.17%0.59%0.69%0.89%0.38%0.39% 0.70%
CHF0.50%-0.09%-0.01%0.20%-0.31%-0.29%-0.70% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD back to 1.3250, down modestly for the day

GBP/USD now comes under fresh downside pressure and recedes toward the mid-1.3200s on Tuesday, partially reversing the optimism seen at the beginning of the week. Meanwhile, Cable’s bearish tone follows the resumption of the upside traction in the Greenback, always amid the sharp rally in USD/JPY.

EUR/USD looks inconclusive in the low 1.1400s

EUR/USD alternates gains with losses in the 1.1420 region in the latter part of the NA session on turnaround Tuesday. The pair’s vacillating price action comes amid the lack of clear direction in the US Dollar. Meanwhile, market participants are expected to gear up for the upcoming key releases on the US docket and developments from the ECB Forum in Sintra.

Gold clings to daily gains beyond $4,000

Following multi-month lows near $3,950, Gold now manages to regain some composure and reclaim the area beyond the key $4,000 yardstick per troy ounce on Wednesday. Still, any meaningful recovery appears limited as a broadly firmer US Dollar and rising US Treasury yields weigh on the yellow metal.

Ethereum: Sharplink makes first treasury purchase in 2026 amid ETH's fall from grace

Ethereum treasury firm Sharplink resumed accumulation of the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization last week after months on the sidelines. The Florida-based firm acquired 10,000 ETH last week at an average price of $1,611 per ETH, marking its first purchase since October. The move has pushed its holdings to 886,725 ETH worth roughly $1.4 billion at the time of writing.

Why a hawkish Bank of Japan could trigger the next Bitcoin sell-off

The Japanese Yen hits a 40-year low of 162.00 against the US Dollar, raising concerns about intervention or additional rate hikes by the Bank of Japan. BoJ may sell US Treasuries to buy back Yen, potentially pushing US bond yields higher and making Bitcoin less attractive to investors.

Kevin Warsh isn't expected to say much in Sintra: That's exactly why markets will listen

Financial markets could find an important catalyst in the enchanting, fairytale-like landscape of Sintra this week. The ECB Forum will, as it does every year, gather the crème de la crème of central banks. The new boss at the Fed, who has clearly said that the Fed should stop explaining everything, will need to talk – and traders should listen.