|

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Flat as traders eye Japan’s CPI

  • USD/JPY hovers near 150.00 with 'gravestone doji' hinting at a possible downside.
  • Slight bullish RSI; a break above 149.00 could target 149.47 and 150.00.
  • If 149.00 isn't breached, sellers might drive the pair down to 148.34 (Tenkan-sen) and 148.00 support.

USD/JPY remains flatlined late in the North American session after traders digested monetary policy decisions by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Federal Reserve (Fed). As both central banks maintained the “status quo,” traders turned the page and focused on the release of Japanese inflation figures at around 23:30 GMT. The pair is trading at 148.76, virtually unchanged.

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

During the week, the USD/JPY pair has enjoyed a bounce though it failed to reclaim the 150.00 figure, which opened the door for some sideways trading. However, the formation of a ‘gravestone doji,’ alongside a bearish candle, suggested lower prices; buyers stepped in near 148.10 and drove the exchange rate higher.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is bearish, but as of this writing, the slope is edged up, indicating that momentum favors buyers.

If USD/JPY climbs past 149.00, the next resistance would be the Senkou Span A at 149.47, followed by the 150.00 figure. On further strength, the pair could aim for fresh highs near the Kijun-sen at 150.60.

Conversely, failure to claim 149.00 could lead to sellers challenging the Tenkan-sen at 148.34. A daily close below the latter opens the path for further downside, with key support levels being the 148.00 mark and the March 11 swing low of 146.54.

USD/JPY Price Chart – Daily

Japanese Yen PRICE This week

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies this week. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the Euro.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 0.23%-0.22%0.03%-0.37%0.44%-0.18%-0.33%
EUR-0.23% -0.60%-0.63%-0.66%0.08%-0.48%-0.60%
GBP0.22%0.60% 0.29%-0.26%0.66%0.09%-0.07%
JPY-0.03%0.63%-0.29% -0.43%0.21%-0.16%-0.49%
CAD0.37%0.66%0.26%0.43% 0.66%0.20%-0.45%
AUD-0.44%-0.08%-0.66%-0.21%-0.66% -0.54%-0.63%
NZD0.18%0.48%-0.09%0.16%-0.20%0.54% -0.12%
CHF0.33%0.60%0.07%0.49%0.45%0.63%0.12% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains above 0.7200 after China's trade data

AUD/USD sits above 0.7200 in the Asian session on Tuesday, near its highest level since May 14. The US Dollar stays under pressure as a rallying Japanese Yen outweighs support from hawkish Fed bets and geopolitical tensions. This, along with firming expectations for another RBA rate hike later this month, acts as a tailwind for the Aussie. However, mixed China trade balance data keep the pair restricted.

USD/JPY stabilizes at around 154.00 as markets assess BoJ outlook

USD/JPY fluctuates at around 154.00 in the American session on Tuesday after rebounding from the six-month low it touched below 153.00 earlier in the day. Nevertheless, the upside attempts resemble technical corrections for now as Japan's upbeat wage growth data and Q2 GDP revision cement bets on a BoJ rate hike next week and continue to support the Japanese Yen.

Gold reverses early gains as US Dollar rebounds, Oil prices rise
Gold (XAU/USD) struggles to hold early gains and reverses course on Tuesday as a modest rebound in the US Dollar (USD) and rising Oil prices weigh on the precious metal. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $4,400 after reaching an intraday high near $4,443.
Ripple and Stellar outlook: Hold bullish bias above EMAs as derivatives back upside
Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) hold above the key support zones on Tuesday, hinting at an upside move. Derivatives metrics further support the recovery, with both altcoins showing positive funding rates and rising long positions. Derivatives data shows a bullish tilt among XRP and XLM traders.
Europe in focus: September 2026
Six major net contributors demanded substantial cuts to the European Commission’s proposed 2028–2034 EU budget. Germany, Denmark, the Netherlands, Austria, Finland and Sweden issued a joint position on 27 August calling for the nearly €2 trillion proposal to be reduced by several hundred billion euros and rejecting additional common EU borrowing.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.