|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Offers on double top formation but bulls are still hopeful

  • USD/JPY has tumbled after a double top formation at 118.40.
  • Bulls eye a range shift in the RSI (14) at 60.00-80.00 for further upside.
  • The trendline placed from 114.65 is limiting the downside risk.

The USD/JPY pair has found some significant offers after hitting an intraday high of 118.40 on Wednesday. The major has witnessed a negative open-rejection reverse price action on Wednesday. The pair opened at 118.31, surged to 118.40 but found intensified selling pressure and slipped below the opening price.

On an hourly scale, USD/JPY has formed a double top as the asset found barricades on the re-test of its previous highs at 118.40. Investors dumped the asset after sensing it was an expensive bet. The trendline placed from March 4 lows at 114.65 adjoining the March 9 low and March 10 low at 115.55 and 115.85 will continue to act as major support going forward.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted its range from 60.00-80.00 to 40.00-60.00, which signals no more upside until it oversteps 60.00 again.

For an upside, bulls need to surpass the double top formation at 118.40, which will send the major to a five-year high at 118.66, followed by the 27 January 2016 high at 119.07.

On the flip side, bulls can lose control if the major violates the 30-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 118.17 on the downside. Violation of 30-period EMA will drag the pair to 50-period EMA and 100-period EMA at 117.97 and 117.47 respectively.

USD/JPY hourly chart


 

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price118.21
Today Daily Change-0.08
Today Daily Change %-0.07
Today daily open118.29
 
Trends
Daily SMA20115.67
Daily SMA50115.24
Daily SMA100114.64
Daily SMA200112.65
 
Levels
Previous Daily High118.45
Previous Daily Low117.7
Previous Weekly High117.36
Previous Weekly Low114.81
Previous Monthly High116.34
Previous Monthly Low114.16
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%118.16
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%117.98
Daily Pivot Point S1117.84
Daily Pivot Point S2117.39
Daily Pivot Point S3117.09
Daily Pivot Point R1118.6
Daily Pivot Point R2118.9
Daily Pivot Point R3119.35

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bounces back toward 0.6950 on fresh USD supply

AUD/USD bounces back toward 0.6950 in the Asian session on Friday. The US Dollar retreats from 17-month highs as traders take profits off the table ahead of the all-important US Nonfarm Payrolls report. Meanwhile, the Australian Dollar draws support from reviving expectations of a November interest rate hike amid elevated global yields and inflation risks.


USD/JPY struggles near 158.00 as USD retreats ahead of NFP

USD/JPY is struggling for fresh impetus near 158.00, moving away from the top end of its weekly range in the Asian session on Friday, after hotter-than-expected Tokyo CPI and amid a broad US Dollar retreat. Traders reposition themselves ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls.

Gold fades the earlier optimism; back below $4,200

Gold could not sustain the post-NFP bull run past the $4,200 mark per troy ounce, receding toward the $4,180 region at the end of the week. The precious metal’s inconclusive price action comes amid fresh selling pressure hurting the US Dollar as investors assess the latest NFP data.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP gains reinforce bullish outlook

Cryptocurrency prices are broadly recovering on Friday, led by Bitcoin moving above $86,000. Ethereum has reaffirmed its bullish outlook, rising above $2,700 while the immediate area at $2,800 caps upside. Meanwhile, Ripple hovers near $1.54.

Week ahead – Fed minutes in the spotlight amid bond market rout

Energy crisis and soaring bond yields to stay in driver’s seat in quiet week. Fed minutes eyed after drop in October rate hike bets. ISM services PMI and Treasury auctions to be watched too. Canadian employment, Japanese wages and ECB minutes also on tap.

The Euro is near a one-year low: Inflation could trigger its rebound, not its fall

EUR/USD has fallen to its lowest level since May 2025. The pair hit 1.1312 on Wednesday and trades well below the January peak of 1.2082. The decline reflects a powerful combination of US Dollar strength, geopolitical uncertainty and renewed concerns about Europe's exposure to higher energy prices.