USD/JPY Price Analysis: Eyes 134.00 on an H&S breakdown


  • A breakdown of the H&S formation has triggered a bearish reversal.
  • The 200-EMA has acted as a major barricade for the US Dollar.
  • A slippage inside the bearish range by the RSI (14) has activated bearish momentum.

The USD/JPY pair has witnessed a steep fall in Tokyo and has surrendered the round-level support of 139.00. The asset has sensed immense pressure as the US Dollar Index (DXY) is witnessing an intense sell-off. A sheer recovery in investors’ risk appetite has faded safe-haven’s appeal.

S&P500 futures have recovered losses recorded in the early Tokyo session as uncertainty over Federal Reserve (Fed)’s policy outlook has lost its traction. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yields have corrected to near 3.46% as a deceleration in the rate hike pace by the Fed looks imminent.

On an hourly scale, the major has delivered a breakdown of the Head and Shoulder chart pattern that signals a bearish reversal. A slippage below the neckline plotted from December 6 low at 135.96 has weighed on the US Dollar. Apart from that, the asset has been failing in holding itself above the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 137.10, which indicates strength in the Japanese yen.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted into the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which signifies that a bearish momentum has been triggered.

For further downside, the asset needs to drop below Friday’s low at 135.77, which will drag the pair toward the round-level support at 135.00, followed by December 5 low at 134.13.

Alternatively, a break above the 200-EMA around 137.00 will drive the asset towards Wednesday’s high at 137.86. A break above the latter will expose the pair for more upside toward November 25 high at 139.60.

USD/JPY hourly chart

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price 135.9
Today Daily Change -0.78
Today Daily Change % -0.57
Today daily open 136.68
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 138.51
Daily SMA50 143.51
Daily SMA100 141.09
Daily SMA200 134.94
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 137.25
Previous Daily Low 136.25
Previous Weekly High 139.9
Previous Weekly Low 133.62
Previous Monthly High 148.82
Previous Monthly Low 137.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 136.87
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 136.63
Daily Pivot Point S1 136.2
Daily Pivot Point S2 135.72
Daily Pivot Point S3 135.2
Daily Pivot Point R1 137.2
Daily Pivot Point R2 137.73
Daily Pivot Point R3 138.2

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650

EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650

EUR/USD gained traction and turned positive on the day above 1.0650. The improvement seen in risk mood following the earlier flight to safety weighs on the US Dollar ahead of the weekend and helps the pair push higher.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD reversed its direction and advanced to the 1.2450 area after touching a fresh multi-month low below 1.2400 in the Asian session. The positive shift seen in risk mood on easing fears over a deepening Iran-Israel conflict supports the pair.

GBP/USD News

Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold stabilized near $2,380 after spiking above $2,400 with the immediate reaction to reports of Israel striking Iran. Meanwhile, the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields helps XAU/USD hold its ground.

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in

Bitcoin price shows no signs of directional bias while it holds above  $60,000. The fourth BTC halving is partially priced in, according to Deutsche Bank’s research. 

Read more

Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

US GDP, core PCE and PMIs the next tests for the Dollar. Investors await BoJ for guidance about next rate hike. EU and UK PMIs, as well as Australian CPIs also on tap.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures