- A breakdown of the H&S formation has triggered a bearish reversal.
- The 200-EMA has acted as a major barricade for the US Dollar.
- A slippage inside the bearish range by the RSI (14) has activated bearish momentum.
The USD/JPY pair has witnessed a steep fall in Tokyo and has surrendered the round-level support of 139.00. The asset has sensed immense pressure as the US Dollar Index (DXY) is witnessing an intense sell-off. A sheer recovery in investors’ risk appetite has faded safe-haven’s appeal.
S&P500 futures have recovered losses recorded in the early Tokyo session as uncertainty over Federal Reserve (Fed)’s policy outlook has lost its traction. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yields have corrected to near 3.46% as a deceleration in the rate hike pace by the Fed looks imminent.
On an hourly scale, the major has delivered a breakdown of the Head and Shoulder chart pattern that signals a bearish reversal. A slippage below the neckline plotted from December 6 low at 135.96 has weighed on the US Dollar. Apart from that, the asset has been failing in holding itself above the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 137.10, which indicates strength in the Japanese yen.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted into the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which signifies that a bearish momentum has been triggered.
For further downside, the asset needs to drop below Friday’s low at 135.77, which will drag the pair toward the round-level support at 135.00, followed by December 5 low at 134.13.
Alternatively, a break above the 200-EMA around 137.00 will drive the asset towards Wednesday’s high at 137.86. A break above the latter will expose the pair for more upside toward November 25 high at 139.60.
USD/JPY hourly chart
|Today last price||135.9|
|Today Daily Change||-0.78|
|Today Daily Change %||-0.57|
|Today daily open||136.68|
|Previous Daily High||137.25|
|Previous Daily Low||136.25|
|Previous Weekly High||139.9|
|Previous Weekly Low||133.62|
|Previous Monthly High||148.82|
|Previous Monthly Low||137.5|
|Daily Fibonacci 38.2%||136.87|
|Daily Fibonacci 61.8%||136.63|
|Daily Pivot Point S1||136.2|
|Daily Pivot Point S2||135.72|
|Daily Pivot Point S3||135.2|
|Daily Pivot Point R1||137.2|
|Daily Pivot Point R2||137.73|
|Daily Pivot Point R3||138.2|
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