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USD/JPY Price Analysis: Eases from 50% Fibo but buyers stay hopeful above 132.00

  • USD/JPY retreats from one-month high to snap two-day uptrend.
  • RSI pullback from overbought territory favors the Yen pair’s U-turn.
  • Bullish MACD signals, sustained trading beyond the previous key resistance, 200-SMA favor bulls.

USD/JPY grinds near intraday low during the first loss-making day in three, mildly offered near 132.30 heading into Tuesday’s European session.

In doing so, the Yen pair takes clues from the RSI (14) to retreat from the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s moves between the last December and January 2023. Even so, the quote remains on the bull’s radar as it keeps the previous week’s upside break of the key hurdles, now supports.

That said, the RSI retreat from the overbought territory and hence consolidation of the latest run-up appears logical. However, the bullish MACD signals and the successful trading beyond the resistance-turned-support levels seem to favor the Yen pair buyers.

The 200-SMA level surrounding 130.80 appears to be the immediate support for the USD/JPY bears to watch ahead of the 130.00 psychological magnet.

Following that, the previous resistance line from mid-December 2022, near 129.40 at the latest, could act as the last defense of the USD/JPY bulls.

On the contrary, a clear upside break of the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of 132.75 could propel the USD/JPY towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, also known as the golden level of 134.05.

Even if the Yen pair remains firmer past 134.05, January’s top close to 134.80 may challenge the upside momentum.

USD/JPY: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price132.28
Today Daily Change-0.34
Today Daily Change %-0.26%
Today daily open132.62
 
Trends
Daily SMA20129.9
Daily SMA50132.69
Daily SMA100138.68
Daily SMA200136.8
 
Levels
Previous Daily High132.91
Previous Daily Low131.18
Previous Weekly High131.2
Previous Weekly Low128.08
Previous Monthly High134.78
Previous Monthly Low127.22
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%132.25
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%131.84
Daily Pivot Point S1131.57
Daily Pivot Point S2130.52
Daily Pivot Point S3129.85
Daily Pivot Point R1133.29
Daily Pivot Point R2133.96
Daily Pivot Point R3135.01

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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