|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Descending trend-channel points to further near-term weakness

  • USD/JPY pair’s attempted recovery move faltered near a short-term descending trend-channel.
  • The near-term technical set-up support prospects for a further decline towards the 106.00 mark.

The USD/JPY pair failed to capitalize on its attempted intraday recovery move and faced rejection near the top end of a short-term descending trend-channel formation on hourly charts.

The pair slipped into the negative territory, albeit lacked any strong follow-through selling and so far, has managed to hold well above six-week lows set in the previous session.

The pair's inability to register any meaningful recovery suggests that the near-term bearish pressure might still be far from being over amid sustained selling around the greenback.

The bearish outlook is reinforced by the fact that oscillators on the daily chart have been gaining negative traction and recovered from the oversold territory on the 1-hourly chart.

Hence, an eventual slide below the overnight low, around the 106.35 region, and a subsequent fall to the trend-channel support, near the 106.00 mark, now looks a distinct possibility.

On the flip side, recovery attempts might now confront some fresh supply near the trend-channel resistance, around the 106.70 region, and remained capped below the 107.00 level.

USD/JPY 1-hourly chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price106.54
Today Daily Change-0.13
Today Daily Change %-0.12
Today daily open106.67
 
Trends
Daily SMA20107.86
Daily SMA50108.13
Daily SMA100108.79
Daily SMA200108.31
 
Levels
Previous Daily High106.9
Previous Daily Low106.36
Previous Weekly High108.04
Previous Weekly Low107.28
Previous Monthly High111.72
Previous Monthly Low101.18
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%106.56
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%106.69
Daily Pivot Point S1106.39
Daily Pivot Point S2106.11
Daily Pivot Point S3105.85
Daily Pivot Point R1106.93
Daily Pivot Point R2107.18
Daily Pivot Point R3107.46

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds gains around 1.1800 amid renewed USD selling

EUR/USD regains positive traction and holds around 1.1800 in the European session, reversing the previous day's modest losses. The pair's uptick is sponsored by the emergence of fresh US Dollar selling, which remains induced by persistent trade-related uncertainties. 

GBP/USD strengthens above 1.3500 on softer US Dollar

GBP/USD is posting moderate gains above 1.3500 in European trading on Wednesday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar meets fresh supply following US President Donald Trump’s first State of the Union address and amid looming tariff uncertainty. 

Gold eyes monthly top above $5,200 amid geopolitics, trade jitters

Gold buyers are back in the game, eyeing $5,200 and beyonf on Wednesday after seeing a correction from monthly highs on Tuesday. The US Dollar slips after Trump’s SOTU fails to impress and as AI-driven worries ease. Dovish Fed bets also weigh.  Gold looks north so long as the key 61.8% Fibo resistance at $5,142 holds on the daily chart.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple post cautious recovery amid downside risks

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are posting a cautious recovery on Wednesday following a market correction earlier this week.  BTC is approaching a key breakdown level, while ETH and XRP are rebounding from crucial support levels.

The Citrini report: How a debatable AI narrative can shake Wall Street

That AI-related headline alone was enough to rattle investors.US stocks slid sharply on Monday after a widely circulated Citrini Research memo outlined a hypothetical “2028 Global Intelligence Crisis”, warning that rapid AI adoption could push US unemployment into double digits as early as by mid-2028.

Cosmos Hub Price Forecast: ATOM rebounds slightly, bearish outlook remains intact

Cosmos Hub (ATOM) price rebounds, trading above $2.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after undergoing a sharp correction since last week. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook, while technical analysis remains unfavorable.