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USD/JPY Price Analysis: Buyers stepped in around the 200-DMA and lifted the pair toward 138.00

  • Risk aversion amidst further Federal Reserve tightening spurred the rally on the USD/JPY.
  • USD/JPY Price Analysis: Range-bound, about to clear crucial DMAs.

The USD/JPY bounces off the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and rises above the 137.00 mark on Thursday, courtesy of a risk-off impulse spurred by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike. Investors bracing for further tightening, keep the US Dollar (USD) bid against the Japanese Yen (JPY). At the time of writing, the USD/JPY exchanges hands at 137.74 as the Asian session begins, 50 pips shy of the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 137.99.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The USD/JPY daily chart illustrates the pair range-bound, within the 133.60-138.00 range, during the last eleven days. At the bottom of the range lies the 200-day EMA at 135.15, and on the top is the 20-day EMA. Oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) in the bearish territory is almost flat, while the Rate of Change (RoC) portrays that buying pressure is almost non-existent, opening the door for a mean reversion.

For that scenario to play out, the USD/JPY must fail to clear the 138.00 mark. After that, the USD/JPY next support would be the 137.00 mark, which, once cleared, could expose the December 14 daily high of 135.99, ahead of the 200-day EMA at 135.16.

As an alternate scenario, the USD/JPY first resistance would be the 138.00 mark. A breach of the latter will expose essential supply zones, like the 100-day EMA at 139.70, ahead of the psychological 140.00 figure.

USD/JPY Key Technical Levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price137.76
Today Daily Change2.50
Today Daily Change %1.85
Today daily open135.26
 
Trends
Daily SMA20137.93
Daily SMA50142.86
Daily SMA100141.08
Daily SMA200135.36
 
Levels
Previous Daily High135.99
Previous Daily Low134.52
Previous Weekly High137.86
Previous Weekly Low134.13
Previous Monthly High148.82
Previous Monthly Low137.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%135.08
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%135.43
Daily Pivot Point S1134.53
Daily Pivot Point S2133.79
Daily Pivot Point S3133.06
Daily Pivot Point R1136
Daily Pivot Point R2136.73
Daily Pivot Point R3137.47

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

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