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USD/JPY jumps to multi-month high following US data

  • USD/JPY soared to its highest level since November 2022 at 144.17.
  • Durable Goods and Housing data figures came in above expectations.
  • US bond yields rise ahead of Powell’s speech on Wednesday.

On Tuesday, the USD/JPY jumped to a fresh multi-month high at 144.17 following optimistic US economic data. The Greenback gained traction on the back of rising US Treasury Bond yields ahead of Jerome Powell’s speech on Wednesday. Governor Ueda from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will also deliver a speech, potentially impacting the JPY price dynamics.

US Bond yields rise after US economic data

The US Census Bureau reported that Durable Goods Orders rose by 1.7% from May, while the markets expected a 1% contraction. Orders excluding Transportation rose by 0.6% and the ones excluding defense, by 3%. In addition, New Home Sales rose by 12% in May, way above the 0.5% variation foreseen by the markets, and signaled resilience in the housing market.

As a reaction, the DXY Index found support at a daily low of 102.32 and recovered to 102.50. US bond yields also recovered as strong economic activity may hint at a more aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) tightening in the future. The 2-year rate rebounded from a low of 4.65% to 4.75%, while the 5 and 10-year yields increased to 4.01% and 3.75%. In addition, the bond market may see volatility on Wednesday, when Jerome Powell will deliver a speech at the European Central Bank Forum in Sintra, Portugal.

That being said, the Yen may rise on prospects of a BoJ intervention if the Japanese currency continues to lose value against the USD, as the pair approaches 145.00. Governor Ueda will also speak at the ECB Forum where investors will look for clues for both a potential intervention in the JPY and the next steps for their monetary policy.

USD/JPY: Levels to watch

According to the daily chart, the USD/JY holds a bullish outlook for the short term but a correction shouldn’t be taken off the table as indicators; specifically, the Relative Strength (RSI) has stood in overbought territory for almost a week. Moreover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) prints rising green bars while the pair trades above the 20,100 and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA).

Support levels to watch: 143.00,142.30, 142.00
Resistance levels to watch:144.00,144.50,145.00

USD/JPY Daily chart

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price143.9
Today Daily Change0.39
Today Daily Change %0.27
Today daily open143.51
 
Trends
Daily SMA20140.66
Daily SMA50137.99
Daily SMA100135.75
Daily SMA200137.22
 
Levels
Previous Daily High143.72
Previous Daily Low142.94
Previous Weekly High143.87
Previous Weekly Low141.21
Previous Monthly High140.93
Previous Monthly Low133.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%143.24
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%143.42
Daily Pivot Point S1143.06
Daily Pivot Point S2142.6
Daily Pivot Point S3142.27
Daily Pivot Point R1143.85
Daily Pivot Point R2144.18
Daily Pivot Point R3144.63

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

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