|

USD/JPY faces barricades around 131.50 as solid Yen’s appeal impedes Fed’s rate hike

  • USD/JPY is sensing hurdles around 131.50 as Yen's solid appeal has faded the impact of Fed’s rate hike.
  • Fed Powell has confirmed that rate cuts are not on the agenda in 2023.
  • The recent US banking debacle cannot rule out the expectations of credit tightening for businesses and households.

The USD/JPY pair is struggling to stretch its recovery above the immediate resistance of 131.50 in the early Tokyo session. It seems that attempts made by the major to surpass the 131.50 resistance are delicate. The asset is failing in following the footprints of the US Dollar Index (DXY) as the latter has displayed a decent recovery after a perpendicular sell-off.

It looks like the solid appeal of the Japanese Yen as a safe-haven has faded the impact of the interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Investors should be aware of the fact that the market participants were ‘gung-ho’ for the Japanese Yen amid fears of United States banking sector turmoil.

While delivering the monetary policy statement, Fed chair Jerome Powell confirmed that rate cuts are not on the agenda in 2023 as the central bank is dedicated to scaling down the stubborn inflation. However, commentary on interest rate guidance remained absent to which the street is anticipating that the Fed is close to pausing the policy-tightening program.

On the recent banking fiasco, Fed Powell has loaded blame on the management of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) citing it as ‘failed badly’. He further added that the US banking system is sound and resilient. Still, the recent debacle cannot rule out the expectations of credit tightening for businesses and households, which will cool off overall demand and inflation further.

The burden of consecutive 25 basis points (bps) rate hikes by the Fed critically impacted S&P500. The 500-US stocks banks were heavily dumped as further credit tightening would result in more contraction in the economic activities, portraying a risk-off market mood. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is demonstrating a back-and-forth action around 102.50 after a recovery move as investors await a Q&A session with Fed Powell for further clarity.

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price131.47
Today Daily Change-1.04
Today Daily Change %-0.78
Today daily open132.51
 
Trends
Daily SMA20134.93
Daily SMA50132.53
Daily SMA100134.95
Daily SMA200137.45
 
Levels
Previous Daily High132.63
Previous Daily Low131.04
Previous Weekly High135.12
Previous Weekly Low131.56
Previous Monthly High136.92
Previous Monthly Low128.08
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%132.02
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%131.64
Daily Pivot Point S1131.49
Daily Pivot Point S2130.47
Daily Pivot Point S3129.9
Daily Pivot Point R1133.08
Daily Pivot Point R2133.65
Daily Pivot Point R3134.67

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.1650 ahead of US data

EUR/USD stabilizes near 1.1650 on Friday after facing a rejection once again near seven-week highs. The pair, however, continues to draw support from persistent US Dollar weakness, despite a cautious market mood. Traders now await the US September PCE inflation and UoM Consumer Sentiment data. 

GBP/USD clings to gains in 1.3350 region, eyes on US data

GBP/USD sticks to a positive bias near 1.3350 in the second half of the day on Friday. Traders prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key US inflation and sentiment data due later in the day. In the meantime, broad-based US Dollar weakness helps the pair stay afloat. 

Gold remains below $4,250 as traders await key US data

Gold gains some positive traction on Friday and trades in the upper half of its weekly range. Dovish Fed expectations continue to undermine the USD and lend support to the commodity. Bulls, however, might opt to wait for the US PCE Price Index before placing aggressive bets.

UoM Consumer Sentiment Index expected to post a mild recovery in December

December’s preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is forecast to have picked up to 52 from a three-year low of 51.0 in November. A stalled labour market and higher price pressures are likely to weigh on consumers’ confidence.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Pi Network Price Forecast: Bearish streak nears critical support trendline

Pi Network (PI) edges lower on Friday for the third consecutive day, approaching a local support trendline. The on-chain data suggests an increase in supply pressure as Centralized Exchanges (CEXs) experience a surge in inflows.