|

USD/JPY: Depressed below 111.00 amid mixed sentiment as Japan holds the fort in Asia

  • USD/JPY extends pullback from intraday top, fails to extend Friday’s winning streak.
  • Upbeat US employment figures, hopes of President Biden’s $2.25 trillion stimulus fail to please bulls amid Easter Monday holiday.
  • S&P 500 Futures, Nikkei 225 offer positive start to the week, US 10-year Treasury yield extend Friday’s weakness.
  • Risk catalysts remain as the key but US ISM Services PMI can offer intermediate moves.

USD/JPY drops towards the intraday low of 110.60 as Tokyo opens for Monday’s trading. In doing so, the risk barometer fails to portray the market mood backed by Friday’s welcome US data and the recent optimism over US President Joe Biden’s $2.25 trillion infrastructure spending. However, off in major Asian bourses, namely Australia, New Zealand and China, seem to restrict the quote’s latest moves.

Republicans join the US business lobby and show readiness to conquer Biden’s optimistic infrastructure spending plan due to a tax hike. However, recent comments from the Biden Administration suggest the Democratic Party member’s readiness to use Presidential power to push for the key relief package.

Elsewhere, the US economy has been flashing upbeat readings off-late, which in turn strengthens the global optimism as being the world’s economic leader. On Friday, US Nonfarm Payrolls surged by 916K and the US Bureau of Labor Statistics also revised up the figures for February and January while announcing March’s details.

Also on the risk positive side could be the faster vaccinations and hopes of further stimulus. During the weekend, the ruling Liberal Democratic Party's secretary-general Toshihiro Nikai said in a television program that Japan may need to compile a supplementary budget for the current fiscal year to combat the economic blow from the coronavirus pandemic.

On the contrary, the US-China tussles and the covid woes in Europe, not to forget fears of the virus strain, test the risk-on mood. Also challenging the sentiment could be the US 10-year Treasury yields that seesaw around January 2020 tops.

Amid these plays, S&P 500 Futures rise 0.50% whereas Nikkei 225 prints 0.67% intraday gains by the press time.

Looking forward, risk news will be the key to watch ahead of the US ISM Services PMI for March, expected 58.5 versus 55.3 prior.

Read: US Services Purchasing Managers’ Index March Preview: Expectations are high

Technical analysis

Friday’s bullish spinning top and sustained trading above January 2020 top near 110.30 keeps USD/JPY buyers hopeful.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price110.68
Today Daily Change0.00
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open110.68
 
Trends
Daily SMA20109.26
Daily SMA50106.99
Daily SMA100105.41
Daily SMA200105.61
 
Levels
Previous Daily High110.75
Previous Daily Low110.37
Previous Weekly High110.97
Previous Weekly Low109.37
Previous Monthly High110.97
Previous Monthly Low106.37
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%110.61
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%110.52
Daily Pivot Point S1110.45
Daily Pivot Point S2110.23
Daily Pivot Point S3110.08
Daily Pivot Point R1110.83
Daily Pivot Point R2110.98
Daily Pivot Point R3111.21

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to gains above 1.1700

Following the correction seen in the second half of the previous week, EUR/USD gains traction to start the new week and trades in positive territory above 1.1700. The US Dollar (USD) struggles to attract buyers as investors await Tuesday's GDP data ahead of the Christmas holiday. 

GBP/USD rises above 1.3400 on renewed USD weakness

GBP/USD turns north on Monday and trades in positive territory above 1.3400. The US Dollar (USD) stays on the back foot to begin the new week as investors adjust their positions before tomorrow's growth data, helping the pair stretch higher.

Gold hits new record-high above $4,400 as geopolitical tensions escalate

Gold trades at a fresh all-time-high above $4,400 Monday, rising more than 1.5% on a daily basis. The potential for a re-escalation of the tensions in the Middle East on news of Israel planning to attack Iran allows Gold to capitalize on safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple eye breakout for fresh recovery

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are approaching key technical levels at the time of writing on Monday as the broader crypto market stabilizes. Market participants are closely watching whether BTC, ETH, and XRP can sustain breakouts and achieve decisive daily closes above nearby resistance levels, which could signal the start of a short-term recovery.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

Hyperliquid price forecast: Bullish interest builds amid user recovery

Hyperliquid (HYPE) trades at $25 at press time on Monday, holding the 3% gains from the previous day. The perpetual exchange sees a recovery in active users, while weekly fees collected decline to the lowest level so far this month.