|

USD/JPY: Depressed below 111.00 amid mixed sentiment as Japan holds the fort in Asia

  • USD/JPY extends pullback from intraday top, fails to extend Friday’s winning streak.
  • Upbeat US employment figures, hopes of President Biden’s $2.25 trillion stimulus fail to please bulls amid Easter Monday holiday.
  • S&P 500 Futures, Nikkei 225 offer positive start to the week, US 10-year Treasury yield extend Friday’s weakness.
  • Risk catalysts remain as the key but US ISM Services PMI can offer intermediate moves.

USD/JPY drops towards the intraday low of 110.60 as Tokyo opens for Monday’s trading. In doing so, the risk barometer fails to portray the market mood backed by Friday’s welcome US data and the recent optimism over US President Joe Biden’s $2.25 trillion infrastructure spending. However, off in major Asian bourses, namely Australia, New Zealand and China, seem to restrict the quote’s latest moves.

Republicans join the US business lobby and show readiness to conquer Biden’s optimistic infrastructure spending plan due to a tax hike. However, recent comments from the Biden Administration suggest the Democratic Party member’s readiness to use Presidential power to push for the key relief package.

Elsewhere, the US economy has been flashing upbeat readings off-late, which in turn strengthens the global optimism as being the world’s economic leader. On Friday, US Nonfarm Payrolls surged by 916K and the US Bureau of Labor Statistics also revised up the figures for February and January while announcing March’s details.

Also on the risk positive side could be the faster vaccinations and hopes of further stimulus. During the weekend, the ruling Liberal Democratic Party's secretary-general Toshihiro Nikai said in a television program that Japan may need to compile a supplementary budget for the current fiscal year to combat the economic blow from the coronavirus pandemic.

On the contrary, the US-China tussles and the covid woes in Europe, not to forget fears of the virus strain, test the risk-on mood. Also challenging the sentiment could be the US 10-year Treasury yields that seesaw around January 2020 tops.

Amid these plays, S&P 500 Futures rise 0.50% whereas Nikkei 225 prints 0.67% intraday gains by the press time.

Looking forward, risk news will be the key to watch ahead of the US ISM Services PMI for March, expected 58.5 versus 55.3 prior.

Read: US Services Purchasing Managers’ Index March Preview: Expectations are high

Technical analysis

Friday’s bullish spinning top and sustained trading above January 2020 top near 110.30 keeps USD/JPY buyers hopeful.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price110.68
Today Daily Change0.00
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open110.68
 
Trends
Daily SMA20109.26
Daily SMA50106.99
Daily SMA100105.41
Daily SMA200105.61
 
Levels
Previous Daily High110.75
Previous Daily Low110.37
Previous Weekly High110.97
Previous Weekly Low109.37
Previous Monthly High110.97
Previous Monthly Low106.37
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%110.61
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%110.52
Daily Pivot Point S1110.45
Daily Pivot Point S2110.23
Daily Pivot Point S3110.08
Daily Pivot Point R1110.83
Daily Pivot Point R2110.98
Daily Pivot Point R3111.21

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD tests 1.1800, closes in on a fresh two-month high

EUR/USD extends its gains for the second consecutive day on Tuesday and trades near 1.1800. The broad-based US Dollar weakness and a potential policy divergence between the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve keep the bullish bias intact heading into the holiday season.

GBP/USD climbs above 1.3500 area, renews 11-week peak

GBP/USD extends its weekly rally and trades at its highest level since early October above 1.3500. The US Dollar remains under persistent bearish pressure heading into the Christmas break, while Pound traders largely brush off the latest interest rate cut from the Bank of England.

Gold approaches $4,500 as record-setting rally continues

Gold builds on Monday's impressive gains and advances toward $4,500, setting fresh record-highs along the way. Heightened geopolitical tensions, combined with the ongoing US Dollar (USD) selloff ahead of the Q3 GDP data, help XAU/USD preserve its bullish momentum.

US GDP expected to highlight steady growth in Q3

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will publish the first preliminary estimate of the third-quarter Gross Domestic Product on Tuesday, at 13:30 GMT. Analysts expect the data to show annualized growth of 3.2%, following the 3.8% expansion in the previous quarter.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

XRP steadies above $1.90 support as fund inflows and retail demand rise

Ripple (XRP) is stable above support at $1.90 at the time of writing on Monday, after several attempts to break above the $2.00 hurdle failed to materialize last week. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the cross-border remittance token has remained steady.