USD/JPY correcting with prospects of upside continuation

  • USD/JPY bulls awaiting for bullish structure and prospect of a daily upside continuation.
  • Reverse head & shoulders could be in the making. 

USD/JPY is flat on the day so far at 110.16 sticking to a 110.07 and 110.16 range. The US dollar was mixed against G10 FX following the European Central Bank

Forward guidance was more dovish than previously: "the Governing Council expects the key ECB interest rates to remain at their present or lower levels until it sees inflation reaching two per cent well ahead of the end of its projection horizon and durably for the rest of the projection horizon, and it judges that realised progress in underlying inflation is sufficiently advanced to be consistent with inflation stabilising at two per cent over the medium term. This may also imply a transitory period in which inflation is moderately above target."

Meanwhile, local data in the US weekly jobless claims were higher than expected. Initial claims rose 419k (est. 350k), and continuing claims were 3.236m (est. 3.100m).

As for yields, US bond yields fell in a Europe led bond rally, following the ECB’s dovish outcome.

The 2-year government bond yields fell 2bps from 0.22% to 0.20% and 10-year bond yields fell from 1.30% to 1.28%.

USD/JPY technical analysis

There are prospects of a deeper correction to at least the 38.2% Fibonacci if not the 505 mean reversion.

On a test of the area, bulls could commit which would result in a right-hand shoulder of a reverse head & shoulders. 

This would be a bullish development and raise the probability of an onward bullish impulse. 


Today last price 110.16
Today Daily Change 0.03
Today Daily Change % 0.03
Today daily open 110.13
Daily SMA20 110.41
Daily SMA50 109.97
Daily SMA100 109.52
Daily SMA200 106.99
Previous Daily High 110.36
Previous Daily Low 110.01
Previous Weekly High 110.7
Previous Weekly Low 109.71
Previous Monthly High 111.12
Previous Monthly Low 109.19
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 110.15
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 110.23
Daily Pivot Point S1 109.98
Daily Pivot Point S2 109.82
Daily Pivot Point S3 109.63
Daily Pivot Point R1 110.32
Daily Pivot Point R2 110.51
Daily Pivot Point R3 110.67




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