|

USD/JPY consolidates near 149.70 ahead of the US Consumer Sentiment

  • USD/JPY snaps the recent winning streak ahead of US data.
  • A slew of solid US data could underpin the US Dollar.
  • S&P Global anticipates that Japan could see upward interest rates trajectory, beginning in 2024.

USD/JPY trades lower around 149.70 during the European session on Friday, snapping a three-day winning streak that began on Tuesday. Despite reaching weekly highs, the USD/JPY pair has experienced a pullback, attributed to the retreat in the US Dollar (USD).

The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades lower around 106.30 by the press time, retreating from the weekly highs. The US Dollar (USD) weakens due to the downbeat US Treasury yields, with the 10-year US bond yield standing at 4.64%, down by 1.23% at the time of writing.

The economic landscape in the United States has been dynamic, which could limit the losses of the US Dollar (USD). The Consumer Price Index (CPI) exceeded expectations in September, with an annual expansion of 3.7%, slightly surpassing the estimated 3.6%.

Additionally, the modest increase in Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending on October 6, slightly below the forecasted 210K at 209K, suggests a nuanced trend indicating a mild easing.

This positive US economic data has reignited a hawkish sentiment regarding the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate trajectory, which could support underpinning the USD/JPY pair. The upbeat indicators have introduced complexity to the ongoing narrative, leading to speculation about the Fed's potential response.

Investors are anticipated to closely monitor the release of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index on Friday. This index serves as a crucial gauge of consumer confidence, providing insights into the broader economic sentiment. The ongoing analysis of these indicators is likely to influence trading decisions in the USD/JPY pair.

The Japanese Yen (JPY) experienced weakness due to the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) continuous adherence to an ultra-easy monetary policy. BoJ board member Asahi Noguchi has drawn attention on Thursday by expressing a lack of optimism about the acceleration in wage growth.

Noguchi attributes inflation to import price hikes, including currency factors, and emphasizes that there is still a considerable distance to achieving the 2% inflation target. These insights from a BoJ official contribute to the ongoing narrative surrounding the Japanese Yen and the central bank's monetary policy stance.

According to S&P Global's assessment of the Japanese economy and monetary policy, the rating agency anticipates that policy interest rates in Japan could experience an upward trajectory, beginning in 2024.

USD/JPY: Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price149.67
Today Daily Change-0.14
Today Daily Change %-0.09
Today daily open149.81
 
Trends
Daily SMA20148.8
Daily SMA50147.02
Daily SMA100144.14
Daily SMA200138.78
 
Levels
Previous Daily High149.83
Previous Daily Low148.96
Previous Weekly High150.16
Previous Weekly Low147.32
Previous Monthly High149.71
Previous Monthly Low144.44
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%149.5
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%149.29
Daily Pivot Point S1149.23
Daily Pivot Point S2148.66
Daily Pivot Point S3148.36
Daily Pivot Point R1150.11
Daily Pivot Point R2150.4
Daily Pivot Point R3150.98

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Breakdown below trading range support near 1.1770 comes into play

The EUR/USD pair opens with a bearish gap at the start of a new week as the US-Iran war-led global flight to safety boosts the US Dollar. Spot prices, however, lack follow-through selling and manage to hold above mid-1.1700s during the Asian session.

GBP/USD targets 1.3500 barrier near moving averages

GBP/USD rebounds from the daily losses, trading around 1.3450 during the Asian hours on Monday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bearish bias, as the pair trades within a descending channel pattern.

Gold retreats from $5,400; still up over 1% amid Middle East tensions

Gold retreats from the $5,400 neighborhood, or its highest level since late January, touched in the Asian session on Monday, though it manages to hold above the $5,300 round figure. The bright metal opened with a bullish gap of about $17 and rallied toward the $5,400 level as Asian traders hit their desks and reacted negatively to the weekend news of the US and Israel attacks on Iran, rushing for cover in Gold.

Top Crypto Losers: Tezos, Toncoin, and Polkadot at crucial levels amid US-Israel strike on Iran

Altcoins such as Tezos, Toncoin, and Polkadot rank among the worst hit cryptocurrencies over the last 24 hours amid the US and Israel's attack on Iran. Tezos and Toncoin are down to crucial support levels while Polkadot remains near a crucial resistance trendline, showcasing underlying strength.

The market is paying for insurance, not apocalypse

As expected, this morning felt less like a Monday market open and more like a fire drill. Futures screens flickered red. S&P contracts down almost 1%. Nasdaq off 1.2%. Brent leaped 13% through $80. Gold rose 1.6% toward $5350 before paring some gains. The dollar is strutting mildly. The Swiss franc is quietly doing what it always does in a storm, catching some safe-haven flows.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.