|

USD/JPY can trade in a range between 148.50 and 150.50 – UOB Group

Outlook is unclear; US Dollar (USD) could trade in a range between 148.50 and 150.50 vs Japanese Yen (JPY). In the longer run, bias for USD is slightly tilted to the downside; unclear for now whether it can break and stay below 148.50, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

Bias for USD is slightly tilted to the downside

24-HOUR VIEW: " Yesterday, we indicated that 'there is a chance for the overbought USD to test 151.20.' We did not anticipate the volatile price action, as after rising to 151.31, USD plunged to a low of 149.08. The outlook for today is unclear after the choppy price movements. Today, USD could trade in a broad range between 148.50 and 150.50."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "After maintaining a negative USD view since the middle of Feb, we highlighted yesterday (03 Mar, spot at 150.80) that 'Not only has downward momentum faded, but upward momentum has increased somewhat.' We were of the view that 'the price movement is part of a rebound that could potentially reach 151.90.' Our view was invalidated quickly, as after rising to 151.31, USD plunged and broke below our ‘strong support’ level at 149.45 (low has been 149.08). Although the sharp drop has resulted in an increase in momentum, it is unclear for now whether USD can break and stay below last week’s low, near 148.50. Overall, the bias for USD appears to be slightly tilted to the downside, as long as 151.00 is not breached."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow channel below 1.1800 as the market volatility remains low ahead of the New Year holiday. On Tuesday, investors will pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold holds above $4,300 after profit taking kicked in

Gold retreats sharply from the record-peak it set at $4,550 and trades below $4,400, losing more than 3% on the day. Growing optimism about a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement and profit-taking ahead of the New Year holiday seem to be causing XAU/USD to stay under heavy bearish pressure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).