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USD/JPY builds on strong intraday rally, climbs to 136.00 on stronger US PCE Price Index

  • USD/JPY rallies nearly 200 pips from the daily low and draws support from a combination of factors.
  • BoJ Governor nominee Ueda's dovish remarks weigh on JPY and boost the pair amid a stronger USD.
  • The stronger-than-expected US PCE Price index provides an additional lift to the buck and the major.

The USD/JPY pair is seen building on its strong intraday rally from the 134.00 mark and scaling higher through the early North American session. The momentum picks up pace in reaction to the stronger-than-expected US PCE Price Index and lifts spot prices to 136.00 neighbourhood, or the highest level since December 20.

In fact, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis reported this Friday, that inflation in the US, as measured by the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, rose 0.6% in January. Furthermore, the yearly rate edged up to 5.4% from the 5.3% previous, beating estimates for a fall to 4.9%. Additional detail of the report showed that Core PCE Price Index - the Fed's preferred inflation gauge - climbed 0.6% MoM and 4.7% over the past twelve months, again surpassing expectations.

The data indicates that inflation isn't coming down quite as fast as hoped and reaffirms expectations for further policy tightening by the Fed. Moreover, the recent upbeat US macro data pointed to an economy that remains resilient despite rising borrowing costs and should allow the Fed to stick to its hawkish stance. This, in turn, remains supportive of elevated US Treasury bond yields, which keeps the US Dollar near a multi-week high and acts as a tailwind for the USD/JPY.

The Japanese Yen (JPY), on the other hand, is weighed down by dovish remarks from the incoming Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda. In fact, Ueda said that the BoJ's current ultra-loose monetary policy stance is a necessary and appropriate means to steadily meet the 2% target. This is seen as another factor boosting the USD/JPY pair, though the prevalent risk-off mood could underpin the safe-haven JPY and keep a lid on any further gains, at least for the time being.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price135.9
Today Daily Change1.26
Today Daily Change %0.94
Today daily open134.64
 
Trends
Daily SMA20132.18
Daily SMA50131.8
Daily SMA100137.25
Daily SMA200137.04
 
Levels
Previous Daily High135.36
Previous Daily Low134.49
Previous Weekly High135.11
Previous Weekly Low131.27
Previous Monthly High134.78
Previous Monthly Low127.22
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%134.82
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%135.03
Daily Pivot Point S1134.3
Daily Pivot Point S2133.95
Daily Pivot Point S3133.42
Daily Pivot Point R1135.17
Daily Pivot Point R2135.71
Daily Pivot Point R3136.05

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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