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USD/JPY bounces off fresh lows near 108.70

  • The pair drops to fresh 8-month lows near 108.70.
  • Lower US yields, risk-off trade sustain the downside.
  • Trade, US shutdown, key data to rule sentiment this week.

The renewed buying bias around the Japanese currency is now dragging USD/JPY to fresh multi-month lows in the vicinity of 108.70, levels last seen in May 2018.

USD/JPY looks to risk trends, yields

The pair is down for the fifth consecutive session so far on Wednesday, navigating multi-month lows in the area below the critical support at 109.00 the figure, always against the backdrop of prevailing risk-off sentiment and declining US yields.

In fact, yields of the key US 10-year benchmark are extending their leg lower and are now testing the 2.66% neighbourhood, or fresh 8-month lows.

In the very near term, the risk-off trend could extend further as long as the US government shutdown remains unsolved, rendering in extra support for the pair. In this regard, tomorrow could be a key date as the US Congress is expected to resume its activity tomorrow.

What to look for around USD/JPY?

Ruling out any meaningful changes in the BoJ’s monetary policy stance in the next months, the focus of attention should remain on the Fed’s rate path and its renewed data-dependent stance, while the persistent decline in US yields should keep the pair under pressure for the time being.

USD/JPY levels to consider

As of writing the pair is losing 0.73% at 108.91 and a break below 108.71 (low Jan.1) would aim for 108.11 (monthly low May 29 2018) and then 107.78 (high Apr.13 2018). On the upside, the initial hurdle aligns at 110.40 (10-day SMA) followed by 111.09 (200-day SMA) and finally 111.72 (high Dec.26 2018).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

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