|

USD/JPY: Back under pressure – Commerzbank

According to Karen Jones, analyst at Commerzbank, USD/JPY has eroded the 107.81 5th June low and is back under pressure.

Key Quotes

“While the market is capped by 108.99 we will maintain a negative bias. The 107.81 5th June low should act as a near term break point to the 106.78 recent low. Our short term target is 105.87, the 78.6% retracement of the move seen this year.”

“Minor resistance lies at the 109.02 mid-May low and also at the 110.84 April 10 low and the 110.75 200 day moving average. These guard the 2015-2019 downtrend at 111.94.”

“We look for the market to remain capped by its 112.01 2015-2019 downtrend. Only above here would target the 114.55 October 2018 high.”

Author

Sandeep Kanihama

Sandeep Kanihama

FXStreet Contributor

Sandeep Kanihama is an FX Editor and Analyst with FXstreet having principally focus area on Asia and European markets with commodity, currency and equities coverage. He is stationed in the Indian capital city of Delhi.

More from Sandeep Kanihama
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD remains slightly bid near 1.3300

GBP/USD now advances marginally and manages to dispute the 1.3300 region on Tuesday. Indeed, Cable regains some balance on the back of the lacklustre performance of the Greenback, all preceding the Fed’s meeting on Wednesday and the BoE’s gathering on Thursday.

EUR/USD recedes from tops, back below 1.1400

EUR/USD manages to set aside part of the recent weakness and clinches decent gains on Tuesday. Indeed, spot keeps the trade below the 1.1400 mark amid acceptable losses in the US Dollar, all following rising optimism of a US-Iran deal and steady caution prior to the FOMC gathering on Wednesday.

Gold holds above $4,000; looks to FOMC for fresh impetus amid US-Iran tensions

Gold is seen consolidating above $4,000 as traders opt to wait for the crucial FOMC decision due later this Wednesday for more cues about the Fed's future policy path. The outlook, in turn, will influence the US Dollar and provide some meaningful impetus to the non-yielding bullion. In the meantime, the risk of resumption of US-Iran hostilities continues to underpin the USD's reserve-currency status, acting as a headwind for bullion.

Australia CPI could boost Aussie if inflation arrives above 4%

The Australian Bureau of Statistics will publish the June Consumer Price Index on Wednesday at 01:30 GMT. The report is expected to show that inflation rose 4% from a year earlier, matching the May reading. The monthly CPI is foreseen at 0.2% following the -0.7% print from May. The ABS will also release the Trimmed Mean CPI, the Reserve Bank of Australia’s favorite inflation gauge.

Indian Rupee outlook: Downtrend set to persist – Just at a slower pace

The Indian Rupee just endured its most brutal six-month stretch in years, battered by a perfect storm of global shocks. From United States-India trade uncertainty to surging Oil prices and the significant outflow of Foreign Institutional Investment from the Indian stock market, every event brought nothing but pain for the Indian currency.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.