USD/INR risks fresh record highs on rising Treasury yields


  • INR could slide to fresh record lows, courtesy of a pick up in the treasury yields.
  • The limited policy response indicates India is preferring a weaker currency.

The USD/INR is currently trading 72.70, having clocked a record high of 72.98 on Tuesday.

The pullback could be short-lived and the currency pair could rise to new highs above 73.00 as the US 10-year treasury yield rose to a four-month high of 3.06 percent yesterday.

More importantly, limited policy response and mild intervention by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) indicates the world's fastest-growing major economy is warming up to the idea of a weaker currency.

Indeed, the government announced measures on Friday to tackle the current account deficit, but those are unlikely to put brakes on the rupee fall and are well short of stronger measures like Non-Resident Indian (NRI) bonds, FX swap window for oil-marketing companies introduced during the previous bouts of rupee weakness.

  TREND INDEX OB/OS INDEX VOLATILY INDEX
15M Bearish Neutral Low
1H Neutral Shrinking
4H Bearish Neutral Shrinking
1D Bullish Overbought Expanding
1W Bullish Overbought High

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

US economy grows at an annual rate of 1.6% in Q1 – LIVE

US economy grows at an annual rate of 1.6% in Q1 – LIVE

The US' real GDP expanded at an annual rate of 1.6% in the first quarter, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis' first estimate showed on Thursday. This reading came in worse than the market expectation for a growth of 2.5%.

FOLLOW US LIVE

EUR/USD retreats to 1.0700 after US GDP data

EUR/USD retreats to 1.0700 after US GDP data

EUR/USD came under modest bearish pressure and retreated to the 1.0700 area. Although the US data showed that the economy grew at a softer pace than expected in Q1, strong inflation-related details provided a boost to the USD.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD declines below 1.2500 with first reaction to US data

GBP/USD declines below 1.2500 with first reaction to US data

GBP/USD declined below 1.2500 and erased a portion of its daily gains with the immediate reaction to the US GDP report. The US economy expanded at a softer pace than expected in Q1 but the price deflator jumped to 3.4% from 1.8%. 

GBP/USD News

Gold falls below $2,330 as US yields push higher

Gold falls below $2,330 as US yields push higher

Gold came under modest bearish pressure and declined below $2,330. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield is up more than 1% on the day after US GDP report, making it difficult for XAU/USD to extend its daily recovery.

Gold News

XRP extends its decline, crypto experts comment on Ripple stablecoin and benefits for XRP Ledger

XRP extends its decline, crypto experts comment on Ripple stablecoin and benefits for XRP Ledger

Ripple extends decline to $0.52 on Thursday, wipes out weekly gains. Crypto expert asks Ripple CTO how the stablecoin will benefit the XRP Ledger and native token XRP. 

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures