- USD/INR accelerates the recovery moves from 75.47.
- RBI announces 40 basis points (bps) of cuts in the key Repo and Reverse repo rates.
- Downbeat comments from China’s National People's Congress (NPC) weigh on trading sentiment.
USD/INR stays bid around 75.72, up 0.11% on a day, after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announced rate cuts on early Friday.
While the initial reaction to the RBI’s rate cuts seems limited, the pair seems to gain influence from the expected escalation in the US-China tussle due to the latest developments in China.
The dragon nation is inching closer to tightening its grip over Hong Kong. While the Asian major haven’t directly targeted the US yet, the US Senate Majority Leader McConnell earlier said that further China crackdown on Hong Kong will intensify the interest in re-examining the US-China relationship.
That said, the 13th NPC also dropped its GDP targeting for 2020 and triggered wide fears based on the coronavirus (COVID-19) woes.
Not everything from China is negative, the NPC updates also suggest that the Asian major will implement trade deal with the US, which in turn offers a ray of hope at the end of the tunnel.
Portraying the risk-tone sentiment, the US 10-year Treasury yields drop 2.6 basis points to 0.651% while Japan’s NIKKEI lose 0.80% to 20,385 by the press time.
Looking forward, a light economic calendar can keep the pair traders pushed towards qualitative catalysts, mainly concerning the the US-China tussle risk, for fresh impulse.
Buyers are looking for a clear break of the monthly resistance line, at 75.75 now, to aim for 76.00 and May 12 high surrounding 76.20. Alternatively, sellers await entries below 75.45 to target 75.00.
Additional important levels
|Today last price||75.72|
|Today Daily Change||0.0825|
|Today Daily Change %||0.11%|
|Today daily open||75.6375|
|Previous Daily High||75.83|
|Previous Daily Low||75.4713|
|Previous Weekly High||76.1945|
|Previous Weekly Low||75.0489|
|Previous Monthly High||76.975|
|Previous Monthly Low||75.14|
|Daily Fibonacci 38.2%||75.693|
|Daily Fibonacci 61.8%||75.6083|
|Daily Pivot Point S1||75.4625|
|Daily Pivot Point S2||75.2876|
|Daily Pivot Point S3||75.1038|
|Daily Pivot Point R1||75.8212|
|Daily Pivot Point R2||76.005|
|Daily Pivot Point R3||76.1799|
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