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USD/INR Price News: Indian Rupee drops below 83.00 amid mixed sentiment, US Dollar pullback

  • USD/INR stays defensive amid sluggish markets, grinds lower of late.
  • China Covid concerns weigh on risk profile in Asia but softer US Treasury yields probe Indian Rupee bears.
  • India Trade Deficit for Q3, US Initial Jobless Claims eyed for fresh impulse.

USD/INR holds lower ground near 82.75 as bulls and bears jostle during Thursday’s Asian session.

The Indian Rupee (INR) pair welcomed bears the previous day but the broadly firmer US Dollar challenges the downside moves before the latest weakness, mainly due to the downbeat US Treasury yields. In doing so, the quote cheers softer Oil prices amid lackluster trading days through the end of 2022.

That said, the US 10-year Treasury yields drop 2.8 basis points to 3.858% by the press time, after rising the most since October 19 the previous day. The pullback in the benchmark US bond coupons from a three-week high also weighs on the US Dollar Index (DXY), down 0.15% intraday near 104.35 by the press time.

It’s worth noting, however, that the sour sentiment in the Asia-Pacific markets, mainly due to China-linked Covid woes, seems to challenge the USD/INR bears. On the contrary, WTI crude oil’s weakness allows the Indian Rupee (INR) to remain firmer, due to India’s reliance on energy imports.

Multiple countries, including India, announced requirements of Covid tests for Chinese travelers as doubts over Beijing’s reporting of data and a hidden jump in the virus numbers weigh on sentiment. On the same line could be Russia’s rejection of peace with Ukraine unless it accepts the treaty allowing additional territories, as well as an escalated war in the city of Kherson.

Against this backdrop, MSCI’s Index of Asia-Pacific outside Japan extend the previous day’s losses while India’s BSE Sensex drops half a percent at the latest.

Moving on, the India Trade Deficit for the third quarter (Q3) will precede Infrastructure Output for November to direct short-term USD/INR moves. On the other hand, weekly prints of the US Initial Jobless Claims and Chicago PMI for December will be eyed for short-term directions. Overall, the year-end inaction could allow the pair to consolidate the monthly gains.

Technical analysis

Although multiple failures to cross the 83.00 hurdle on a daily closing basis keep USD/INR bears hopeful, the 21-DMA support restricts the immediate downside of the pair to around 82.45.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price82.7845
Today Daily Change-0.0385
Today Daily Change %-0.05%
Today daily open82.823
 
Trends
Daily SMA2082.4518
Daily SMA5082.0968
Daily SMA10081.3505
Daily SMA20079.5691
 
Levels
Previous Daily High83.0322
Previous Daily Low82.7178
Previous Weekly High83.1702
Previous Weekly Low82.5552
Previous Monthly High83.187
Previous Monthly Low80.3774
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%82.9121
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%82.8379
Daily Pivot Point S182.6831
Daily Pivot Point S282.5433
Daily Pivot Point S382.3687
Daily Pivot Point R182.9975
Daily Pivot Point R283.1721
Daily Pivot Point R383.3119

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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