|

USD/INR Price News: Indian Rupee bears jostle with 100-DMA amid broad US Dollar strength

  • USD/INR picks up bids to reverse the previous day’s pullback from one-week high.
  • Bank of Japan’s inaction drowned Treasury bond yields, underpinned US Dollar demand.
  • Increased hedging by Indian importers, foreign outflows weigh on the INR.
  • US Retail Sales, PPI will be crucial to forecast further USD run-up.

USD/INR grinds higher past 81.50, around 81.70 by the press time, as bond buyers underpin the US Dollar run-up during early Wednesday. Also adding strength to the Indian Rupee (INR) pair could be the chatters of increased hedging by importers and foreign outflows from India.

“Average dollar purchases by importers, beyond the spot date, rose to $1.64 billion last week from $1.14 billion the week before, latest data collated by The Clearing Corporation of India Ltd (CCIL) revealed,” stated Reuters while suggesting an increase in hedging in India. On the same line, Reuters quotes data to mention about a 246.51 billion rupees ($3.02 billion) outflow by Foreign institutional investors in the last 17 days to portray challenges for the INR.

Elsewhere, the receding optimism surrounding China as expectations of upbeat growth figures from China, as conveyed by economists from Goldman Sachs, contrast the fears of more Sino-American tussles over Taiwan to probe China-linked optimism. Earlier in the day, South China Morning Post (SCMP) mentioned that Beijing ‘should be wary’ as the US and Taiwan seeks closer economic ties.

Above all, a slump in the Treasury bond yields triggered by the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) inaction seemed to have underpinned the US Dollar run-up. That said, the US Dollar Index (DXY) braces for the biggest daily gains in two weeks, up for the third consecutive day around 102.90 by the press time. US Treasury bond yields reverse the early-day rebound to drop towards 3.48% while the S&P 500 futures printed 0.30% intraday gains, following the mildly negative marks of the intraday performance. On the same line, Japanese Government Bonds (JGB) slumped to 0.362% after the BoJ announcements from 0.50% just before the BOJ.

Amid these plays, stocks in Asia remain firmer, led by Nikkei 225, whereas the S&P 500 Futures also seesaws around the monthly high past 4,000 by the press time.

Moving on, USD/INR traders should pay attention to the US US Retail Sales and Producers Price Index for December, expected 0.1% and -0.1% MoM versus -0.6% and 0.3% respective priors, for clear directions.

Technical analysis

After a one-week-long stay below the 100-DMA, around 81.70 by the press time, the USD/INR pair struggles to regain its place beyond the stated key moving average. However, downbeat MACD and RSI (14) challenge the buyers.

USD/INR

Overview
Today last price81.6785
Today Daily Change0.1610
Today Daily Change %0.20
Today daily open81.5175
 
Trends
Daily SMA2082.3213
Daily SMA5082.0143
Daily SMA10081.6849
Daily SMA20080.004
 
Levels
Previous Daily High81.8865
Previous Daily Low81.5175
Previous Weekly High82.5294
Previous Weekly Low81.0769
Previous Monthly High84.25
Previous Monthly Low80.9855
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%81.6585
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%81.7455
Daily Pivot Point S181.3945
Daily Pivot Point S281.2715
Daily Pivot Point S381.0255
Daily Pivot Point R181.7635
Daily Pivot Point R282.0095
Daily Pivot Point R382.1325

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.1750 on first trading day of 2026

EUR/USD stays calm on Friday and trades in a narrow channel at around 1.1750 as trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes above 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and moves sideways above 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold reverses its direction and advances toward $4,400 after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking before the New Year holiday. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).