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USD/INR Price Analysis: Double top, RSI divergence tease Indian rupee buyers below 78.00

  • USD/INR again slips after refreshing all-time high, renews daily low of late.
  • Bearish RSI divergence hints at further declines but “Double Top” confirmation needed to convince sellers.
  • 50-SMA, weekly support line act as extra downside filters.

USD/INR takes offers to renew intraday low around 77.65, after refreshing the all-time peak with 78.03 earlier in the day, as the US dollar struggles to keep recent gains amid cautious optimism.

In doing so, the Indian rupee (INR) pair portrays a “Double Top” bearish chart pattern on the four-hour play during early Thursday morning in Europe.

Not only the “Double Top” but bearish RSI divergence, identified when RSI prints lower-high even if prices make higher-high, also keep USD/INR bears hopeful.

However, a clear downside break of the latest low near 77.33 becomes necessary to confirm the bearish chart formation.

Ahead of that, the 50-SMA and a one-week-old rising trend line, respectively around 77.48 and 77.38, challenge the USD/INR pair sellers.

Meanwhile, recovery moves need a clear run-up beyond the 78.00 threshold, also crossing the latest high of 78.03, to reject the bearish chart formation.

It’s worth noting that the RSI should also accompany the jump in the prices to direct USD/INR bulls toward the 80.00 psychological magnet.

USD/INR: Four-hour chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price77.5567
Today Daily Change0.2052
Today Daily Change %0.27%
Today daily open77.3515
 
Trends
Daily SMA2076.8245
Daily SMA5076.3934
Daily SMA10075.637
Daily SMA20075.0826
 
Levels
Previous Daily High78.0232
Previous Daily Low77.335
Previous Weekly High77.665
Previous Weekly Low76.9531
Previous Monthly High77.0715
Previous Monthly Low75.2634
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%77.5979
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%77.7603
Daily Pivot Point S177.1166
Daily Pivot Point S276.8817
Daily Pivot Point S376.4285
Daily Pivot Point R177.8048
Daily Pivot Point R278.258
Daily Pivot Point R378.4929

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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