USD/INR Price Analysis: Bear flag keeps Indian rupee buyers hopeful, 74.45 eyed


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  • USD/INR defends corrective latest pullback around seven-week low.
  • Bearish chart pattern needs validation from 20-SMA, buyers need to conquer 200-SMA for conviction.

USD/INR seesaws around 74.55-60 during Wednesday’s Asian session, after rising the most in three weeks the previous day. In doing so, the Indian rupee (INR) pair holds onto the recovery moves from the lowest levels since mid-November, flashed on Friday.

Even so, a bearish chart pattern called flag challenges USD/INR buyers on the four-hour (4H) play.

The quote’s latest rebound, however, takes clues from ascending RSI line and hints at another attempt to cross the 50-SMA level of 74.65.

Following that, the flag’s upper line, around 74.75, will precede the 75.00 threshold to challenge the USD/INR bulls. Also acting as the key upside hurdle is the 200-SMA level of 75.15.

On the flip side, 20-SMA adds strength to the bearish formation’s support line near 74.65, a break of which will theoretically confirm the south-run towards the last year’s bottom surrounding 72.20-15.

During the anticipated fall, lows marked in November and September 2021, respectively around 73.85 and 72.90, may offer a breather space to the USD/INR bears.

USD/INR: Four-hour chart

Trend: Bearish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 74.5775
Today Daily Change 0.0213
Today Daily Change % 0.03%
Today daily open 74.5562
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 75.3198
Daily SMA50 74.9153
Daily SMA100 74.5408
Daily SMA200 74.2723
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 74.6888
Previous Daily Low 74.3752
Previous Weekly High 75.082
Previous Weekly Low 74.1065
Previous Monthly High 76.5958
Previous Monthly Low 74.1065
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 74.569
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 74.495
Daily Pivot Point S1 74.3913
Daily Pivot Point S2 74.2264
Daily Pivot Point S3 74.0776
Daily Pivot Point R1 74.7049
Daily Pivot Point R2 74.8537
Daily Pivot Point R3 75.0186

 

 

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