|

USD/INR opens flat near 90.20 on last trading day of 2025

  • USD/INR trades flat at open around 90.20 in a thin trading volume day.
  • FIIs turned out to be net sellers in nine months of 2025.
  • Fed officials support more interest rate cuts to support US job market.

The Indian Rupee opens on a flat note against the US Dollar (USD) on the last trading day of 2025. The USD/INR pair wobbles around 90.20 as trading volume remains thin globally in the final stretch of the year. However, the outlook of the pair remains firm as interest of overseas investors toward the Indian stock market remains grim due to trade stalemate between the United States (US) and India.

This year, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) remained net sellers in almost nine months, and offloaded stake worth Rs. 30,752.24 crore. So far in December, FIIs have pared stake worth Rs. 30,752.24 crore.

In 2025, trade relations between the US and India remained sour as Washington raised tariffs on imports from New Delhi to 50%, which included 25% punitive import duty for buying Oil from Russia.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) trades slightly higher in Asian trading hours, even as most Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have stressed the need for further monetary easing to support the US labor market.

“Most participants noted moving toward a more neutral policy stance would help forestall possible job market deterioration,” Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes of the December policy meeting showed on Tuesday.

In 2026, the major highlight for the FX market is expected to be the announcement of new Fed Chair by US President Donald Trump. On Monday, Trump said that he will announce Chairman Jerome Powell’s successor sometime in January.

Economic Indicator

FOMC Minutes

FOMC stands for The Federal Open Market Committee that organizes 8 meetings in a year and reviews economic and financial conditions, determines the appropriate stance of monetary policy and assesses the risks to its long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth. FOMC Minutes are released by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve and are a clear guide to the future US interest rate policy.

Read more.

Last release: Tue Dec 30, 2025 19:00

Frequency: Irregular

Actual: -

Consensus: -

Previous: -

Source: Federal Reserve

Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is usually published three weeks after the day of the policy decision. Investors look for clues regarding the policy outlook in this publication alongside the vote split. A bullish tone is likely to provide a boost to the greenback while a dovish stance is seen as USD-negative. It needs to be noted that the market reaction to FOMC Minutes could be delayed as news outlets don’t have access to the publication before the release, unlike the FOMC’s Policy Statement.

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).